中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网报道，欧佩克+代表1月24日对彭博社记者表示，在未来几周供需存在重大不确定性的情况下，欧佩克+联盟联合部长级监督委员会（JMMC）预计将在下周开会时建议维持目前的原油产量水平，并采取观望态度。
JMMC将于2月1日举行在线会议，审查原油市场形势，并可能为欧佩克+联盟提出行动建议。
然而，考虑到2月和3月全球需求和原油供应的不确定性，外界普遍预计欧佩克+联盟将维持当前原油产量水平，从去年11月起将目标日产量减少200万桶。然而，据估计，欧佩克+联盟实际原油日减产大约100万桶。
根据欧佩克月度原油市场报告（MOMR）披露的数据，去年12月，欧佩克13个成员国的原油平均日产量增加了9.1万桶，达到2897.1万桶，几乎所有的原油产量增长都来自尼日利亚。但去年12月欧佩克10个成员国(受欧佩克+减产协议约束的成员国)的原油产量仍远远低于他们的产量配额。
展望未来，欧佩克、欧佩克+和市场参与者将从两个大国身上寻找有关全球需求和供应的最直接线索。
分析师和市场预计，全球最大的原油进口国重新开放后，该国原油需求将出现反弹。
沙特阿拉伯国家石油公司（沙特阿美）首席执行官阿明·纳赛尔日前在接受彭博社记者采访时表示，这家全球最大的石油公司预计，全球最大原油进口国的重新开放和航空燃油需求的回升将导致今年全球原油需求的反弹。
在供应方面，欧盟将于2月5日开始禁止产能大国的海运进口成品油。
此外，分析师表示，布伦特原油价格最近稳定在80美元上方，这可能意味着欧佩克+不会在欧盟对柴油和其他石油产品实施禁运之前急于改变原油生产政策。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
OPEC+ Set To Keep Oil Production Unchanged
The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee of the OPEC+ group is expected to recommend keeping the current levels of oil production when it meets next week, in a wait-and-see approach amid significant uncertainties about supply and demand in the coming weeks, OPEC+ delegates told Bloomberg>The JMMC is meeting>However, in view of the uncertainties about the biggest oil emporter's demand and the third producer's supply in February and March, OPEC+ is widely expected to keep the current production levels, which reduced target output by 2 million barrels per day (bpd) from November>In December, OPEC-13’s average December production rose by 91,000 bpd, according to the MOMR, to 28.971 million bpd, with nearly all of the gains coming from Nigeria. But December’s OPEC-10 production – the members bound by the OPEC+ pact – was still substantially below the production quota, with the group underproducing by more than 800,000 barrels per day.
Going forward, OPEC, OPEC+, and market participants will look to two big coutries for the most immediate clues>Analysts and the market expect this coutry oil demand to rebound after the reopening of the world’s largest crude oil importer after nearly three years of Covid-related lockdowns.
Saudi oil giant Aramco expects the the biggest oil emporter's reopening and a pick-up in jet fuel demand to lead to a rebound in global oil demand this year, Amin Nasser, the CEO of the world’s biggest oil firm, told Bloomberg in an interview last week.
On the supply side, the upcoming EU embargo>Moreover, Brent oil prices have recently stabilized in the upper $80s, which could mean that OPEC+ will not rush to change production policy just ahead of the EU embargo on diesel and other products, analysts say.
