欧佩克秘书长表示，由于全球市场再次开放，欧佩克对全球石油需求持谨慎乐观态度
欧佩克认为，更强劲的需求前景可能抵消对全球经济放缓的持续担忧
欧佩克重申，愿意“不惜一切代价”在2023年保持石油市场平衡
中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2023年1月17日报道，欧佩克秘书长盖斯周二在接受彭博电视台记者采访时表示，对经济复苏和石油需求的谨慎乐观迹象已经出现。
“我们正在看到绿色的迹象，”盖斯告诉彭博社记者，“我们很乐观，但谨慎乐观。”
近几周，全球市场的重新开放为油价带来了一些利好，尽管放松限制的影响可能不会立即体现在石油需求的上升上。
彭博社上周对11位市场咨询分析人士进行的调查结果显示，亚洲今年的石油消费量预计将日增80万桶，日需求量预计将达到创纪录的1600万桶。
许多分析师表示，在取消最严格的限制措施后，亚洲大国的石油需求将从第二季度开始反弹，这也将推高今年的全球石油需求。
欧佩克秘书长表示，更为乐观的需求前景在一定程度上抵消了对发达经济体的持续担忧，发达经济体利率上升可能导致经济大幅放缓，甚至衰退。
尽管如此，欧佩克秘书长告诉彭博社，欧佩克决心“不惜一切代价”在2023年保持石油市场平衡。
分析师预计，如果经济衰退进一步拖累油价下跌，欧佩克和更广泛的欧佩克+联盟将采取行动，捍卫每桶80美元的油价底线。
欧佩克+今年的第一次会议将在2月初举行，但一些分析人士预计，欧佩克将等着看欧盟对产能大国石油产品进口的禁运将在多大程度上扰乱市场，然后再就改变集体石油产量目标做出任何决定。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
OPEC Is ‘Cautiously Optimistic’ about Global Oil Demand In 2023
· OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al-Ghais has said that the group is cautiously optimistic about oil demand as the global market opens up again.
· The group believes that a stronger demand outlook could offset continued concerns about a global economic slowdown.
· OPEC has reiterated its willingness to do “whatever it takes” to keep the oil market balanced in 2023.
Signs of cautious optimism about a recovery in economies and oil demand have emerged, OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al-Ghais told Bloomberg Television in an interview>The cautious optimism stems from the easing of the Covid curbs in the biggest country of Asia and the reopening of the Chinese borders earlier this month, according to OPEC’s secretary general.
“We’re seeing signs of green,” Al-Ghais told Bloomberg.
“We are optimistic, but we are cautiously optimistic.”
Oil consumption of the biggest country of Asia is expected to jump by 800,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year to a record 16 million bpd, a median estimate of 11 focused consultants polled by Bloomberg News showed last week.
Following the initial exit Covid wave after the strictest curbs were lifted,the oil demand is set to rebound from the second quarter>The more optimistic demand outlook for the global economy offsets to an extent continued concerns about developed economies, where rising interest rates could result in a significant slowdown and even recessions, according to OPEC’s Al-Ghais.
Still, the cartel is determined to do “whatever it takes” to keep the oil market balanced in 2023, OPEC’s secretary general told Bloomberg.
Analysts expect OPEC and the wider OPEC+ group to step up and defend an $80 per barrel floor under oil prices should recessions drag oil further down.
The first OPEC+ meeting for this year is in early February, but some analysts expect that the group will wait to see how much the EU embargo on imports of the third producer's oil products - effective February 5 - would disrupt the markets before taking any decision on changing the collective oil production targets.
