中国石化新闻网讯 据《华尔街日报》11月14日消息，欧佩克周一维持对全球石油供应和需求的预测基本不变，并警告称，疫情和西方遏制石油出口行动的影响等重大未知因素令能源市场前景高度不确定。
在受到密切关注的月度市场报告中，欧佩克小幅降低了对全球石油需求的预测，同时也对石油供应预测进行了小幅调整，而对于全球经济增长预测则未做修改。
欧佩克指出，从地缘政治冲突的进程到七国集团牵头的对石油价格设置上限计划，一系列“相当大的不确定性”给全球石油供应蒙上了阴影，分析师担心这可能会进一步扰乱全球石油供应。
虽然欧佩克维持对经济增长和石油需求的预测基本不变，但也警告称，欧盟面临着“额外的能源供应受阻”的威胁，这显然是指欧盟即将禁止进口石油的计划，这有可能使欧洲经济放缓恶化并将该地区推入衰退。
欧佩克将对今年全球石油需求增长的预测降低了10万桶/日，至250万桶/日。欧佩克还将2023年的石油需求增长预测降低了10万桶/日，至220万桶/日。
欧佩克对非欧佩克产油国的石油供应预期做了微调。它将2022年非欧佩克产油国的石油供应增长预测下调了3万桶/日，至190万桶/日。对于2023年，欧佩克将该增长预测上调了2万桶/日，至154万桶/日。
欧佩克将对今明两年的全球经济增速预测分别保持在2.7%和2.5%不变。
庞晓华 摘译自 《华尔街日报》
原文如下：
OPEC Warns of 'Considerable Uncertainties' Facing Oil Market
OPEC left its forecast for global oil supply and demand largely unchanged Monday, as it warned that major unknowns such as Covid-19 cases and the impact of Western efforts to frustrate oil exports made the outlook for energy markets highly uncertain.
In its closely followed monthly market report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries modestly lowered its forecast for global oil demand while making small tweaks to its supply forecasts and holding off from making changes to its global economic growth forecasts.
The oil producers group cited a raft of "considerable uncertainties" clouding the picture for global oil supplies from the course of the war to a Group of Seven-led plan to cap oil prices which analysts fear could further disrupt global oil supplies.
While it kept its forecast for economic growth and oil demand largely unchanged, OPEC also warned that the threat of "additional energy-supply disruptions" in the European Union--an apparent allusion to the bloc's impending plans to ban imports of oil--risked worsening Europe's slowdown and pushing it into a recession.
OPEC lowered its forecast for global oil-demand growth this year by 100,000 barrels a day to 2.5 million barrels a day. It also lowered its 2023 demand-growth forecast by 100,000 barrels a day to 2.2 million barrels a day.
OPEC made minor adjustments to its expectations for oil supplies from oil-producing nations that aren't part of the cartel. It lowered its non-OPEC supply growth forecasts for 2022 by 30,000 barrels a day to 1.90 million barrels a day. For 2023, it raised its forecasts by 20,000 barrels a day to 1.54 million barrels a day.
The cartel left its forecasts for global economic growth steady at 2.7% this year and 2.5% in 2023.
