• 欧佩克再次下调全球今明两年石油需求增长预测，这是欧佩克自今年4月以来的第5次下调。
• 欧佩克指出，重大的经济不确定性是导致需求下降的关键因素。
• 2023年，欧佩克认为经济风险向下行倾斜，但地缘政治冲突的解决可能会改变这一局面。
中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网11月14日报道，由于未来几个月全球经济的重大不确定性，欧佩克周一再次下调了其对今明两年全球石油需求增长的预期，这是欧佩克自今年4月以来第5次减少全球石油消费预期。
欧佩克在周一发布的《石油市场月度报告》(MOMR)中表示，由于和欧洲面临的经济挑战，欧佩克将其对2022年和2023年的全球石油日需求增长预测分别从上月的估计下调了10万桶。
报告说，全球经济的重大不确定性，加上对全球经济衰退的担忧，导致了全球石油需求增长下降的风险。
10月初，欧佩克在宣布每天削减200万桶总体原油产量目标一周后，又大幅下调了其对2022年和2023年全球石油需求增长的预期。
现在，这些估算值每天都被进一步下调了10万桶。欧佩克目前预计，2022年全球石油日需求将增加250万桶，此前欧佩克将第四季度全球石油日需求增长预期下调了近40万桶。
欧佩克表示，预计今年全球石油日需求平均将达到9960万桶，在汽油和柴油需求复苏的背景下，以美国为首的美洲发达经济体的需求增幅最高。欧佩克补充称，预计轻质馏分油也将支持今年全球的石油需求增长。
欧佩克目前预计2023年全球石油日需求将增加220万桶，比10月报告的预期日减10万桶。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
OPEC Cuts Oil Demand Growth Estimates Yet Again
· OPEC has cut its oil demand growth forecast yet again, the fifth such reduction since April.
· The group cited significant economic uncertainty as the key factors driving demand lower.
· In 2023, OPEC believes economic risks are skewed to the downside but that the resolution of the war could change that.
Significant global economic uncertainties in the coming months made OPEC cut>OPEC revised down each of its 2022 and 2023 oil demand growth forecasts by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) from last month’s estimates due to the economic challenges in Europe, the organization said in its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) out>“The significant uncertainty regarding the global economy, accompanied by fears of a global recession contributes to the downside risk for lowering global oil demand growth. ” OPEC said.
In October, a week after announcing a 2-million-bpd headline cut to its collective oil production target, OPEC slashed its global oil demand growth estimates for both 2022 and 2023.
Those estimates are now further revised down by 100,000 bpd each.
OPEC now sees global oil demand growth at 2.5 million bpd in 2022 after slashing the fourth-quarter demand projections by nearly 400,000 bpd.
Global oil demand is projected to average 99.6 million bpd this year, with developed economies in the Americas seeing the highest rise in demand, led by the U.S.>For 2023, OPEC now sees oil demand growth at 2.2 million bpd, down by 100,000 bpd from the growth expected in the October report.
