据世界天然气10月28日消息称,到2030年,英国工业的低碳氢需求将达到10太瓦时,到2050年将增加到37太瓦时。根据 Cornwall Insight 的一份新报告,工业脱碳是英国低碳氢的关键。
Insight论文研究了目前消耗氢气或有可能增加低碳氢气使用的行业。
到2030年,英国工业的低碳氢需求将达到约10太瓦时
到2050年,这一数字可能会增加到37太瓦时。
最大的需求(36太瓦时)预计来自高温工业过程,氢将替代天然气和其他化石燃料。
根据英国商业、能源与工业战略部(BEIS)和国际能源署(IEA)提供的电解器和海上风能的资本支出值,我们估计建立这些基础设施的投资约为230亿英镑。
Cornwall Insight的建模分析师Deva Devaraj说:
“英国工业为GDP贡献了3310亿英镑(17%),同时也占了18%的碳排放,这可以通过多种脱碳途径来减少。例如,使用化石燃料发电和发热的工业过程可以转换为可再生资源,需要化石燃料发电的过程也可以电气化。然而,氢在工业脱碳中有重要作用。
“氢是万能的;它可以作为原料,还原剂,并产生热量。在工业中使用低碳氢将是扩大其生产的催化剂,并导致氢技术在其他最终用途部门的采用。”
曹海斌 摘译自 世界天然气
原文如下:
UK: Hydrogen demand predicted to grow to 10TWh in 2030
UK industry could see a low carbon hydrogen demand of ~10TWh in 2030, increasing to up to 37TWh by 2050. According to a new report from Cornwall Insight, Industrial decarbonisation key for UK low carbon hydrogen.
The insight paper examines industries that currently consume hydrogen or have the potential to increase the use of low carbon hydrogen.
UK industry could see a low carbon hydrogen demand of ~10TWh in 2030
This could increase to 37TWh by 2050
The largest demand (36TWh) is expected from high-temperature industrial processes hydrogen will substitute natural gas and other fossil fuels.
Using the CAPEX values for electrolysers and offshore wind from the Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS) and International Energy Agency (IEA), we estimate the investment to establish this infrastructure at ~£23bn.
Deva Devaraj, Modelling Analyst at Cornwall Insight, said:
“UK industry, while contributing £331bn towards GDP (17%), also accounts for 18% of carbon emissions, which can be reduced via multiple decarbonisation pathways. For example, industrial processes using fossil-based electricity and heat generation can be switched to renewable sources, and processes requiring fossil fuels for heat generation can also be electrified. However, there is a substantial role for hydrogen in industrial decarbonisation.
“Hydrogen is versatile; it can be used as a feedstock, reducing agent, and to generate heat. Using low carbon hydrogen in industries would be a catalyst to scale up its production and lead to hydrogen technology adoption in other end-use sectors.