俄罗斯产量下降 欧洲天然气期货价格创新高

   2021-09-08 IP属地 浙江中国石化2340
核心提示:   据世界石油9月7日消息,据彭博社报道,欧洲天然气期货价格周一飙升至创纪录高点,原因是俄罗斯通过一个关键入口进入欧洲的

   据世界石油9月7日消息,据彭博社报道,欧洲天然气期货价格周一飙升至创纪录高点,原因是俄罗斯通过一个关键入口进入欧洲的天然气数量下降,使本已紧张的市场供应进一步受到抑制。

  咨询公司Engie EnergyScan的负责人朱利安·霍罗(Julien howarau)称,由于距离供暖季节只有几周的时间,欧洲的天然气库存比季节平均水平低20%左右,交易员们的注意力都集中在前往欧洲的俄罗斯天然气供应线路和冬季需求上。他表示,欧洲将面临非常严峻的冬季,极端天气事件可能会将电价推高至每兆瓦时100欧元以上。

  位于德国的马尔诺(Mallnow)加气站的天然气流量跌至两周以来的最低水平。该站负责从一条主要的管道输送俄罗斯的燃料。从7月底开始,这条线路的天然气输送量开始下降,8月初俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(Gazprom)一处设施发生火灾后,输送量进一步下降。

  俄气周一表示,将全面满足通过亚马尔-欧洲管道接收天然气的欧洲消费者的要求。亚马尔-欧洲管道将燃料输送到马尔诺。

  随着欧盟排放交易体系下的碳排放许可成本飙升至新高,天然气价格也随之上涨,这提高了天然气作为一种更清洁的发电燃料的吸引力。

  亚洲的需求预计将表现为继续从欧洲吸引液化天然气货物。花旗集团(Citigroup)分析师在一份报告中称,印度的工业生产对发电提出了相当大的需求,其中大部分发电来自煤炭,但天然气也受到了影响。

  荷兰近月天然气期货周一一度上涨4.2%,至每兆瓦时53.68欧元,创下历史新高,到伦敦时间下午4点34分,涨幅回落至52.55欧元。在ICE欧洲期货交易所,英国近月天然气价格上涨3.8%,达到创纪录的135.41便士。

  市场也在关注从俄罗斯到德国的北溪2号天然气管道何时开始运营。通过这一有争议的环节的资金流动,可能会在冬季高峰到来之前缓解市场紧张状况。

  该管道运营商周一在一份声明中表示,由于最后一段管道已经焊接完毕,并将放至海床上,第一批管道预计将在今年年底前完工并开始输送。下一步将是在试运行前连接丹麦和德国的部分。

  裘寅 编译自 世界石油

  原文如下:

  European natural gas futures hit new highs as Russian output dips

  European natural gas futures surged to record highs align="justify">  With European stockpiles about 20% below the seasonal average just weeks before the heating season, traders are focused align="justify">  Gas flows at the Mallnow station in Germany, which handles Russian fuel from a major transit pipeline, dropped to its lowest in two weeks. Volumes through this route started falling at the end of July and plunged further after a fire at a Gazprom facility in Russia in early August.

  Gazprom said Monday it’s meeting in full requests of its European consumers who receive gas via the Yamal-Europe pipeline, which transports the fuel into Mallnow.

  Prices also rose as the cost of carbon permits under the European Union’s emissions-trading system surged to a new high, raising the attractiveness of gas as a cleaner-burning fuel in power generation.

  Demand in Asia is expected to continue drawing cargoes of liquefied natural gas away from Europe. Industrial production in China and India is putting considerable demands align="justify">  Front-month Dutch gas futures gained as much as 4.2% align="justify">  The market is also align="justify">  The first shipments are expected before the end of the year as the last section of pipe has now been welded and will be lowered onto the seabed, the pipeline operator said in a statement on Monday. The next step will be to connect the Danish and German sections before pre-commissioning works are carried out.

 
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