据今日油价网站11月1日消息 彭博社援引美国银行本周的一份研究报告称,布伦特原油基准价格将在2022年6月底达到每桶120美元。
美国银行上调价格预测主要基于当前的全球能源危机,随着市场收紧,原油、煤炭、天然气和液化天然气价格飙升。
就在一个月前,美国银行曾预测,如果冬天比往常更为寒冷的话,未来六个月油价可能达到100美元。当时,这被认为是全球能源市场最重要的驱动力。
在未来一年半内,全球石油需求复苏将继续超过供应,导致库存减少,从而为油价上涨奠定基础,美国银行对此感觉更为强烈。
9月,美国银行指出了欧洲能源市场的严峻形势,库存耗尽引发了剧烈的价格波动,这是未来的迹象。
王磊 摘译自 今日油价
原文如下:
Bank Of America Sees $120 Oil By June 2022
The Brent crude benchmark will hit $120 per barrel by the end of June 2022, Bank of America said in a research note this week, cited by Bloomberg.
The catalyst for BofA’s increased price forecast is the current global energy crisis that has seen prices for crude oil, coal, natural gas, and LNG skyrocket as the market tightens.
Just a month ago, BofA had forecast that oil could reach $100 over the next six months—and that was if we had a winter that was colder than usual. At the time, this was expected to be the most important driver of the global energy markets.
BofA feels even more so now that the global oil demand recovery will continue to outpace supply over the next year and a half, resulting in dwindling inventories that set the stage for higher oil prices.
In September, BofA pointed to the grim situation in the European energy markets, which have seen depleting inventories that have triggered vigorous price volatility as a sign of what’s to come.





