据普氏能源资讯新德里10月16日消息称，欧佩克秘书长穆罕默德巴金多周二表示，欧佩克认为，目前尽管石油市场处脆弱状态，但供应充足且稳定。
巴金多在新德里印度能源论坛CERAWeek上表示，尽管市场基本面（包括供需和经济）的不确定性越来越大，但欧佩克/非欧佩克联合部长级监测委员会已经敦促成员国动用闲置产能与客户合作，以在2018年剩余的几个月内满足他们的需求。
巴金多在会议间隙表示：“因为勘探投资较少，全球闲置产能正在减少。”
由于担心主要掌握在沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋和科威特等国家手中的全球闲置产能不足以抵消利比亚和委内瑞拉的供应中断，石油价格一直呈上升趋势。
巴金多说：“石油市场稳定且供应充足，但由于我们无法控制的因素，稳定看起来很脆弱。我将敦促买家保持冷静。”
巴金多表示，任何个别利益相关者无法控制的非基本因素都在影响市场，包括地缘政治事件、自然灾害、技术突破和其他不确定因素，这些因素会影响金融市场，并不断扩大其影响。
他补充说：“这在最近几个月内尤为明显。”全球经济增长下调导致欧佩克下调了2018年和2019年世界石油需求增长预测。
巴金多表示，2019年世界石油需求预计将增加136万桶/日，至平均1.0015亿桶/日，比之前的预测下调50000桶/日。
当被问及欧佩克/非欧佩克供应协议时，他说：“我们正在努力实现100％的合规性。”
巴金多表示，预计2015年至2040年期间全球一次能源需求将增长33％，相当于9100万桶/日油当量，其中24％将来自印度。
此外，他表示预计世界石油需求将从2017年的9720万桶/日增加到2040年的1.11亿桶/日，增加1450万桶/日，其中印度将占580万桶/日，占总增长的40%。
巴金多说：“因此，世界石油前景的结论是，印度预计将出现最大的额外石油需求，每年约占3.7％，并且到2040年期间增长最快。”
陈菲 摘译自 普氏能源资讯
原文如下：
Oil market well supplied and balanced, although in fragile state: OPEC Sec Gen Barkindo
OPEC holds the view that the oil market is adequately supplied and balanced at the moment, although in a fragile state, its Secretary General, Mohammad Barkindo, said Tuesday.
Barkindo, speaking at the India Energy Forum by CERAWeek in New Delhi, said that despite growing uncertainty surrounding market fundamentals, including supply and demand and the economy, the OPEC/non-OPEC Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee had urged member countries with spare capacity to work with customers to meet their demand during the remaining months of 2018.
"Global spare capacity is shrinking because there has been less investment in exploration," Barkindo said Oil prices have been trending higher due to concerns that spare global production capacity, largely in the hands of Saudi Arabia, UAE and Kuwait, was tight and insufficient to offset supply disruptions from Libya and Venezuela.
"The oil market is balanced and well-supplied but the balance is looking fragile because of factors beyond our control. I would urge buyers to remain calm," Barkindo said.
Barkindo said non-fundamental factors beyond the control of any individual stakeholder were impacting markets, including geopolitical events, natural catastrophes, technological breakthroughs and other uncertainties which feed into financial markets and amplify their impact.
"This has been particularly apparent in recent months," he said, adding that a downward revision for global economic growth had led to OPEC cutting its world oil demand growth forecasts for 2018 and 2019.
Barkindo said 2019 world oil demand was anticipated to grow 1.36 million b/d to average 100.15 million b/d, a downward revision of 50,000 b/d from the previous forecast.
"We are Barkindo said global primary energy demand was expected to grow 33%, or 91 million b/d of oil equivalent between 2015 and 2040, of which 24% will come from India.
Additionally, world oil demand was expected to increase 14.5 million b/d, from 97.2 million b/d in 2017 to over 111 million b/d in 2040, he said, of which India will account for 5.8 million b/d, or 40% of the overall increase.
"Therefore, the world oil outlook concludes that India is projected to see the largest additional oil demand, about 3.7% per annum and the fastest growth in the period to 2040," Barkindo said.
