据WENews.com网站10月12日奥斯陆报道,挪威预计,由于全球液化天然气(LNG)供应的不断增长超过欧洲需求的增长,其天然气出口价格在2021年前将下跌逾四分之一。
挪威日前公布的2019年财政预算显示,挪威天然气的平均价格预计将跌至每标准立方米2.05挪威克朗以及在2021年前跌至每标准立方米1.70挪威克朗的低点,然后在2022年出现反弹。
挪威是欧洲仅次于俄罗斯的第二大天然气供应国。今年5月份,挪威在修订后的预算中预计,挪威2018年的天然气价格为每标准立方米1.8挪威克朗以及 2019年的价格低于1.5挪威克朗。
2018年,挪威天然气的平均价格大约为每标准立方米2.20挪威克朗。
预算说:“欧洲天然气产量下降可能会限制价格下跌。”预算补充称,在2022年到2025年这段时间里,供应欧洲的LNG数量将下降,这将推动挪威天然气出口价格再度上涨。
挪威预计,从2026年起,挪威天然气的长期价格将为每标准立方米1.94挪威克朗。
李峻 编译自 WENews.com
原文如下:
Norway Expects Gas Export Price to Fall Until 2021
Norway expects its gas export price to fall by more than a quarter by 2021 as increasing global liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies outstrip growth in European demand.
Norway's 2019 fiscal budget The projections are higher than what Norway, Europe's second largest gas supplier after Russia, was expecting in its revised budget in May, when 2018's price was seen at 1.8 crowns/sm3 and 2019 just below 1.5 crowns.
The average price for Norway's gas was about 2.20 Norwegian crowns ($0.2655) per sm3 in 2018.
"Lower gas production in Europe will probably limit the price decline," the budget said, adding that LNG supply to Europe will fall in the period 2022-2025, which will push Norway's gas export prices up again.
Norway expects a long-term price of 1.94 crowns/sme3 from 2026.





