全球著名能源和大宗商品贸易公司维多集团（Vitol Group）首席执行官拉塞尔·哈迪认为，今年下半年油价可能在每桶90美元至100美元之间波动
鉴于今年石油需求将以每天220万桶的速度增长，而供应仍然有限，油价很有可能上涨
维多集团日前加入了银行和分析师的行列，他们都认为油价将在今年下半年攀升至每桶100美元关口
中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2023年2月27日报道，全球最大的独立石油贸易商维多集团首席执行官拉塞尔·哈迪周一对彭博电视台记者表示，由于供应受限，全球石油需求将达到创纪录水平，油价可能在今年下半年达到每桶90至100美元区间。
哈迪在接受彭博电视台记者采访时表示：“下半年油价上涨的可能性很大，可能在90至100美元区间波动。”
根据哈迪的说法，与2022年相比，2023年全球石油需求将日增220万桶，并将达到创纪录的水平，原因是柴油、石脑油和液化石油气(LPG)需求的激增。
哈迪对彭博电视台记者表示：“供应面没有太多空间是现实，因此上涨的潜力肯定是存在的。”
这位维多集团的高管表示，随着快速脱碳，石油需求预计将在本十年结束前后达到峰值，但仍需要对石油供应进行投资。
美国主要页岩运营商先锋自然资源公司也认为，到今年年底前，油价将达到每桶100美元，而一些银行不相信2023年油价将达到三位数。
先锋自然资源公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德2月早些时候表示，随着亚洲需求的显著增长，布伦特原油价格“将在今年夏天突破90美元，并在今年下半年的某个时候回升至100美元”。
摩根大通2月表示，除非重大地缘政治事件再次扰乱市场，否则布伦特原油价格预计不会在2023年达到每桶100美元。据这家华尔街银行称，产能大国原油产量预计将在6月份恢复，而高价格水平将阻止美国回购原油以补充战略石油储备(SPR)。
高盛银行仍预计布伦特原油价格今年将达到每桶100美元，但只会在12月，而此前预计最快将在2023年中期就会达到每桶100美元。本月早些时候，高盛银行将今年布伦特原油均价从每桶98美元下调至92美元。尽管下调了油价预期，但高盛银行总体上仍是最看好原油和大宗商品的华尔街银行之一。高盛银行仍然相信，一个新的超级周期正在形成。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
Top Energy Trader Expects Oil Prices To Enter The $90-$100 Range
· The CEO of Vitol Group believes oil prices could trade in the $90-$100 per barrel range in the second half of the year.
· With oil demand set to rise by 2.2 million barrels per day this year while supply remains limited, there is a good chance of a price rally.
· The Vitol Group has added its voice to a chorus of banks and analysts that see oil prices climbing toward the $100 mark in the second half of 2023.
Oil prices could hit the $90-$100 per barrel range in the second half of this year as global demand is set to reach record levels amid constrained supply, Russell Hardy, CEO at the world’s largest independent oil trader, Vitol Group, told Bloomberg Television>“The prospect of higher prices in the second half of the year, in the sort of $90-$100 range, is a real possibility,” Hardy told Bloomberg in an interview.
According to Hardy, global oil demand will rise by 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023 compared to 2022 and will reach a record level, driven by a jump in diesel, naphtha, and liquid petroleum gas (LPG) demand.
“You don’t have much room>Peak oil demand is expected to come around the end of this decade amid rapid decarbonization, but investment in oil supply will still be needed, Vitol’s top executive said.
Major U.S. shale operator Pioneer Natural Resources also sees $100 per barrel by the end of the year, while some banks are not convinced prices will hit triple digits in 2023.
With a significant pickup in Asian demand, Brent Crude prices “will break $90 this summer and climb back up to $100 sometime in the second half of the year,” Pioneer CEO Scott Sheffield said earlier this month.
Brent Crude prices are not expected to reach $100 per barrel in 2023 unless a major geopolitical event rattles markets again, JPMorgan said this month. The crude oil production is expected to recover by June, while high price levels would prevent the U.S. from repurchasing crude to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), according to the Wall Street bank.
Goldman Sachs, for its part, still expects Brent Crude to hit $100 per barrel this year, but only in December, compared to earlier expectations of $100 oil as soon as mid-2023. Earlier this month, Goldman Sachs cut its average Brent price to $92 a barrel this year from $98. Despite the cut in oil price forecasts, Goldman Sachs is still one of the most bullish Wall Street banks on crude oil and commodities in general. Goldman continues to believe that there is a new supercycle in the making.
