中国石化新闻网讯 据钻机地带2月15日报道，埃及计划从2025年起将液化天然气出口增加约40%，增加的大部分燃料将运往欧洲。
欧洲大陆正急于从中东、美国和其他地区获得更多液化天然气
埃及能源部长Tarek el-Molla称，埃及今年的石油出口量可能会维持在750万吨左右。他说，埃及在地中海沿岸的两个液化天然气终端的设计年运输量为1200万吨，但要达到这一水平，将取决于埃及能否增加天然气产量以及能否从以色列获得更多天然气。
El-Molla周二在开罗接受采访时表示，钻探活动预计到2025年达到满负荷运行。
虽然从长期来看，这将有助于加强欧洲的能源安全，但今年和2024年全球液化天然气供应将特别紧张。与埃及一样，卡塔尔和美国预计也将从2050年起大幅增加出口。
El-Molla表示，埃及和以色列正在就增加以色列向这个北非国家输送管道天然气的问题进行谈判。以色列的大部分天然气从杜姆亚特港和伊德库港以液化天然气的形式再出口。
两国政府于去年6月与欧盟签署了一份谅解备忘录，旨在增加对欧洲的出口量。
埃及目前的出口量表明它仍是一个相对较小的液化天然气出口国。但至少根据去年的数据，埃及若能将年产量提高到1200万吨将使其跻身全球十大供应国之列。
价格仍然乐观
El-Molla称，在有更多的天然气运往国外之前，埃及不会考虑建造新的液化天然气终端或扩建现有的任何一个终端。他表示，该国的液化天然气销售在长期合同和现货市场之间大致持平，很可能会保持这种状态。现货市场的剧烈波动——欧洲天然气价格在8月份飙升至每百万英热单位近100美元，到年底跌至24美元——意味着埃及希望避免过度依赖现货市场。
El-Molla表示，价格进一步下跌至16.50美元/百万英热单位，但这“仍然很好”。其涵盖了投资，而且利润率很高。
他预计，今年埃及将有大约80亿美元的石油和天然气勘探投资。
他称，许多国际能源公司都很感兴趣。并补充道，埃克森美孚公司、英国石油公司、壳牌公司和其他公司都热衷于扩大其上游业务。
埃及每天开采约60万桶石油，但几乎所有这些石油都用于满足该国1.04亿人口的需求。
据这位部长表示，埃及不再限制任何原油和精炼燃料的进口，以防止价格上涨。
他表示，鉴于石油的波动性，对冲成本非常高。
郝芬 译自 钻机地带
原文如下：
Egypt Sees 2025 as Earliest It Can Boost LNG Exports to Europe
Egypt aims to boost exports of liquefied natural gas by roughly 40% from 2025, with the bulk of the extra fuel shipments going to Europe.
Egypt’s exports this year will probably remain flat at around 7.5 million tons, according to Energy Minister Tarek el-Molla. Its two LNG terminals>“I would expect to reach full capacity by 2025,” el-Molla said in an interview in Cairo>While that will help bolster Europe’s energy security in the longer-term, it’s this year and 2024 when LNG global supplies will be particularly tight. Like Egypt, Qatar and the US are also expected to increased exports significantly from the middle of the decade.
Egypt and Israel are in talks to boost Israeli flows of piped gas to the North Africa country, el-Molla said. Much of that Israeli gas is re-exported as LNG from the ports of Damietta and Idku.
The two governments signed a memorandum of understanding with the European Union in June aimed at increasing volumes to Europe.
Egypt’s current flows make it a relatively small LNG exporter. But boosting them to 12 million tons annually would make it>Prices Still Good
El-Molla said Egypt won’t consider building new LNG terminals or expanding either of the existing>Prices have dipped further to $16.50 per mmbtu but that’s “still good,” said el-Molla. “It’s covering our investments and there’s a good margin.”
He expects there to be about $8 billion of investment in oil and gas exploration in Egypt this year.
“There is a lot of interest from may international energy companies,” he said, adding that Exxon Mobil Corp., BP Plc and Shell Plc and others were keen to boost their upstream operations.
Egypt pumps about 600,000 barrels a day of oil, but almost all of that is used to serve its population of 104 million people.
It no longer hedges any imports of crude and refined fuel to guard against higher prices, according to the minister.
“With oil’s volatility, hedging is very expensive,” he said.
