中国石化新闻网讯 据能源网11月9日旧金山报道，美国能源情报署(Energy Information Administration)周二上调了其对2022年和2023年取暖油和柴油的价格预测，因为10月底美国馏分油燃料的供应处于70多年来的最低水平。
该政府机构在其月度《短期能源展望》报告中表示，包括税收在内的住宅取暖油价格预计今年的平均价格为每加仑4.79美元，较10月份的预期上涨4.8%。到2023年，该机构将取暖油价格预期上调了9.9%，至每加仑4.63美元。
含税柴油零售价格预计今年均价为每加仑5.09美元，较此前预测上涨2.5%，2023年为每加仑4.65美元，较10月份的预测上涨8.4%。
据EIA称，美国主要作为柴油和取暖油消费的馏分燃料库存将导致2023年初价格高企。10月份国内馏分油供应达到1951年以来10月份的最低水平。
EIA主管Joe DeCarolis在一份声明中表示，库存只是柴油和其他馏分油供应的一部分。储存中的馏分燃料并不是维持卡车和火车运转所需的唯一柴油来源，但低于平均水平的储存额将导致柴油和整个冬季取暖燃料的成本上升。
该政府机构还认为，馏分油和其他燃料的全球市场有更多的不确定性。
周二，取暖油12月期货合约上涨1.5美分，至每加仑3.7963美元，涨幅0.4%。
根据GasBuddy的数据显示，周二美国柴油零售均价为每加仑5.334美元。上周五的价格是5.289美元。
与此同时，EIA将其对美国基准西得克萨斯中质原油(WTI) 2022年的价格预测上调0.1%，至每桶95.88美元，2023年上调0.9%，至每桶89.33美元。该机构将今年全球基准布伦特原油价格的预期基本维持在102.13美元不变，但将2023年的预期上调了0.8%，至95.33美元。
在周二的交易中，纽约商品交易所（Nymex）12月即月WTI原油合约下跌1.29美元，跌幅1.4%，至每桶90.50美元，而ICE欧洲期货交易所1月布伦特原油交易价格为每桶96.93美元，下跌99美分，跌幅1%。
郝芬 译自 能源网
原文如下：
EIA forecasts higher heating-oil and diesel prices as U.S. distillate supply marks lowest end-of-October level in over 70 years – Marketwatch
The Energy Information Administration raised its 2022 and 2023 price forecasts for heating oil and diesel>In its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report, the government agency said residential heating-oil prices, including taxes, are expected to average $4.79 a gallon this year — up 4.8% from the October forecast. For 2023, it lifted its heating-oil price forecast by 9.9% to $4.63 a gallon.
Retail diesel prices, including taxes, are expected to average $5.09 a gallon this year, up 2.5% from the previous forecast, with prices for 2023 at $4.65, up 8.4% from the EIA’s October forecast.
U.S. inventories of distillate fuels, which are primarily consumed as diesel and heating oil, will lead to high prices through early 2023, the EIA said. domestic distillate fuel supplies finished the month of October at their lowest levels in any October since 1951, it said.
“Inventories are just>The government agency also noted that it sees additional uncertainty in the global marketplace for distillates and other fuels.
The front-month December heating-oil futures contract tacked>The average U.S. price for retail diesel stood at $5.334 a gallon>The EIA, meanwhile, raised its 2022 forecast for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude prices by 0.1% to $95.88 a barrel and by 0.9% to $89.33 for 2023. It left its forecast for global benchmark Brent crude this year virtually unchanged at $102.13, but lifted its 2023 forecast by 0.8% to $95.33.
In Tuesday dealings, the front-month December WTI oil contract lost $1.29, or 1.4%, to $90.50 a barrel on Nymex, while January Brent crude traded at $96.93 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, down 99 cents, or 1%.
