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需求反弹变得不稳定 油价本周结束下跌

   2021-04-27 45930
核心提示:   据世界石油网站4月25日报道 上周油价下跌,印度等国的冠状病毒病例不断蔓延,缓解了对美国和欧洲出现积极迹象的乐观情绪。

   据世界石油网站4月25日报道 上周油价下跌,印度等国的冠状病毒病例不断蔓延,缓解了对美国和欧洲出现积极迹象的乐观情绪。

  上周五,纽约期货价格创下一周多来的最高涨幅,但未能扭转1.6%的周跌幅,因市场打压全球经济重新开始复苏,这一趋势将时断时续。美国仍然处于全球需求复苏的前沿,欧洲最新的制造业数据也激发了人们对美国经济复苏的乐观情绪。

  然而,印度日均出现创纪录的冠状病毒病例,威胁到这个世界第三大石油进口国的需求。该国的柴油和汽油消费量本月可能下降五分之一。交易员表示,该国最大的炼油商本周不顾预期,拒绝购买西非石油。

  Oanda Corp高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示:“人们非常坚信,亚洲的需求前景将非常强劲,但印度和日本等国的担忧表明,全球经济复苏不会以任何方式取得平衡,而这将使国际旅行形势脱轨。”

  今年石油价格上涨了近30%,但最近随着一些主要石油消费国的冠状病毒情况恶化,油价难以再创新高。据炼油厂和燃料零售商的官员称,由于新的限制措施,印度4月份的柴油和汽油消费总量可能比上个月下降20%。与此同时,日本正面临病例增加的问题,包括东京在内的城市将于周日至5月11日宣布进入紧急状态。

  大宗商品研究集团高级合伙人Andrew Lebow 表示:“短期来看,市场正面临需求不平衡的复苏,印度和日本是石油产品的前五大消费国之一,市场对这两个国家的担忧不断,因此市场正试图衡量我们的需求将走向何方。”

  价格:

  6月交货的WTI上涨71美分,收于每桶62.14美元;

  布伦特原油当月上涨71美分,收于每桶66.11美元,合同价格在一周内下跌了近1%。

  王磊 摘译自 世界石油

  原文如下:

  Oil prices end the week down as demand’s rebound gets patchy

  Oil prices fell last week with spreading coronavirus cases in countries such as India tempering optimism around positive signs out of the U.S. and Europe.

  Futures in New York rose the most in over a week align="justify">  However, India has been setting record numbers of daily coronavirus cases, threatening demand in the world’s third-largest oil importer. The country’s diesel and gasoline consumption could fall by a fifth this month, and traders said the nation’s largest refiner had refrained from buying West African oil this week, defying expectations.

  “There was a real strong belief that we were going to see a very robust demand outlook from Asia,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp. But with concerns in countries such as India and Japan, it shows “the global economic recovery is not going to be balanced by any means, and that’s going to derail the international travel situation.”

  Oil is up almost 30% this year, but prices have struggled to reach new heights recently with the coronavirus situation deteriorating in some key oil consuming countries. India’s combined consumption of diesel and gasoline is poised to plunge by as much as 20% in April from a month earlier due to renewed restrictions, according to officials from refiners and fuel retailers. Meanwhile, Japan is facing an increase in cases and a state of emergency will be declared from Sunday to May 11 in cities including Tokyo.

  “In the short-term, the market is facing an uneven recovery in demand,” said Andrew Lebow, senior partner at Commodity Research Group. “With concerns around India and Japan, which are two of the top five consumers of petroleum products, the market is trying to gauge where we’re going align="justify">  Prices

  WTI for June delivery rose 71 cents to settle at $62.14 a barrel

  Brent for the same month gained 71 cents to settle at $66.11 a barrel. The contract fell nearly 1% over the week

 
标签: 布伦特 王磊 印度
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