据普氏能源资讯5月17日消息 由于天然气储量下降以及国内消费量实现两位数增长，产量超过2021年至2023年，哥伦比亚可能被迫大幅增加液化天然气的进口量。
“天然气是能源转型的基本燃料，然而，每生产1万亿立方英尺天然气，我们的探明储量只占0.7立方英尺，”该国能源部长Suarez周二在哥伦比亚卡拉科尔电台播出的采访中表示。她指出:“该国在近海勘探和其他替代能源方面的工作还在继续，特别是通过水力压裂法进行非常规开采。”
莱斯塔德能源公司副总裁Schreiner Parker向普氏表示，无论从原料量还是价格来看，美国现货液化天然气可能是哥伦比亚目前最具竞争力的。
哥伦比亚已通过位于卡塔赫纳的Sociedad Portuaria El Cayao或SPEC再气化工厂进口液化天然气，该工厂用于支持该国北部的工厂运营商。
根据BP能源统计审查的最新数据，哥伦比亚2017年的天然气产量仅够国内消费。该国消耗的天然气估计有75%来自Cusiana、Cupiagua和Chuchupa-Ballenas油田，这些油田的产量都在下降，给该国带来了寻找和生产新天然气资源的压力。
Suarez表示，哥伦比亚天然气储量从2017年的3.896万亿立方英尺下降至2018年的3.782万亿立方英尺，下降2.9%，主要原因是消费增长16%。ANH的数据显示，哥伦比亚的天然气储量在过去六年里不断下降。因此，该国的R/P比率从2017年的11.7年下降到2018年的9.8年，下降了16%，降幅为1.9年。这是自该国开始记录此类数据以来，这一比例首次降至如此低的水平。
哥伦比亚石油协会主席Francisco Jose Lloreda Mera今年3月表示，哥伦比亚的天然气储量估计为20万亿立方英尺。并指出在潜在的10万亿立方米天然气中，有10万亿立方米被认为是常规的，其余10万亿立方米被认为是非常规的。
吴慧丹 摘译自 普氏能源资讯
原文如下：
Colombia expected to sharply increase LNG imports if domestic production does not grow
Colombia could be forced to sharply increase LNG imports between 2021 and 2023 amid declining natural gas reserves and production eclipsed by double-digit growth in domestic consumption.
"Natural gas is a fundamental fuel for energy transformation, however, for every trillion cubic foot produced, we are US spot LNG is probably the most competitive now for Colombia, both in terms of feedstock volume and prices, Schreiner Parker, Rystad Energy's vice president-Latin America, told S&P Global Platts.
Colombia already imports LNG through the Sociedad Portuaria El Cayao, or SPEC, regasification plant in Cartagena, which is used to support plant operators in the north of the country.
According to the most recent data in BP's Statistical Review of Energy, Colombia produced just enough gas to cover its domestic consumption in 2017. An estimated 75% of the gas consumed in the country comes from the Cusiana, Cupiagua and Chuchupa-Ballenas fields, all experiencing production declines and putting pressure Colombia's gas reserves fell 2.9% to 3.782 Tcf in 2018 from 3.896 Tcf in 2017, due primarily to a 16% increase in consumption, Suarez said. Colombia's gas reserves have declined continuously over the last six years, ANH data shows. As a result, the country's R/P ratio fell 16%, or by 1.9 years, to 9.8 years in 2018 compared with 11.7 years in 2017. This marks the first time the ratio has fallen this low since the country started keeping records of such data.
Colombia has estimated gas potential of 20 Tcf, Colombian Petroleum Association President Francisco Jose Lloreda Mera in March. Of the potential, 10 Tcf is considered conventional, while the remaining 10 Tcf is considered unconventional, he said.
