中国石化新闻网讯 据管道&天然气杂志网2月20日报道,国际能源署(IEA)总干事法提赫·比罗尔(Fatih Birol)警告称,明年冬天可能出现能源短缺,因为市场上的新液化天然气数量相对较少。
比罗尔周六在慕尼黑安全会议间隙对路透表示,欧洲各国政府在过去一年做出了许多确保能源供应的正确决定,例如建造更多液化天然气终端,以天然气的管道输送。
比罗尔表示:“今年冬天,可以说我们摆脱了困境。如果没有最后一分钟的意外,我们应该能熬过……也许这里和那里都有一些瘀伤。但问题是……明年冬天会发生什么?预计今年将新增230亿立方米的液化天然气,并补充道,即使随着疫情限制的放松,经济产出只有小幅增长。”
他表示:“尽管我们有足够的液化天然气进口终端,但可能没有足够的天然气可供进口,因此,欧洲在即将到来的冬季并不容易。并指出,这可能会再次推高价格。放松是不对的,现在庆祝是不对的。”
他称,即使重新推动开发新气田,这些气田投产也需要数年时间。因此,家庭和企业需要继续努力减少天然气的使用,同时可再生能源的产量需要更快地增长。
监管天然气和电力市场的德国网络机构负责人克劳斯·穆勒(Klaus Mueller)周日在接受《德意志报》(Deutschlandunk)采访时也表示,他无法排除明年冬天可能出现的天然气短缺,特别是因为德国现在必须在没有管道天然气的情况下填充储存设施。
他表示,我们可以做到这一点,但必须做出巨大努力。并补充道,最好不要让存储水平下降到目前的71.52%以下。
在采访中,比罗尔还警告那些决定逐步淘汰核能的国家,要重新考虑现在是否是这样做的最佳时机。他表示,例如,将德国最后一座核电站临时延长至4月是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。我们需要所有的能源来帮助我们度过下一个冬天。
郝芬 译自 管道&天然气杂志网
原文如下:
IEA's Birol Warns of Tighter Energy Supply Next Winter
International Energy Agency (IEA) head Fatih Birol has warned of possible energy shortages next winter as relatively little new LNG is coming to the market .
European governments made many correct decisions over the last year to ensure energy supply, such as building more LNG terminals to replace pipeline deliveries of gas, Birol told Reuters>"For this winter it is right to say that we are off the hook. If there are no last minute surprises, we should get through...maybe with some bruises here and there," said Birol. "But the question is...what happens next winter?"
An additional 23 billion cubic meters of LNG is expected this year, Birol said, adding that even with>"Even though we have enough LNG import terminals, there may not be enough gas to import and therefore it will not be easy this coming winter for Europe," he said, noting this would likely push prices up again.
"It is not right to be relaxed, it is not right now to celebrate".
Even with a renewed push to develop new gas fields, it would be years before they came>Households and firms therefore need to continue efforts to reduce gas usage while renewable energy output needs to expand faster, he said.
Klaus Mueller, head of the German network agency which regulates gas and electricity markets, in an interview with Deutschlandfunk>"We can manage it but will have to really make a big effort," he said, adding that it would be good not to let storage levels drop too far below the current 71.52%.
In the interview, Birol also warned countries that had decided to phase out nuclear energy to reconsider if this was the best time to do so, saying the temporary extension of Germany's last nuclear plants until April for example was a step in the right direction.
"We need all energy sources to help us for the next winter," he said.





