中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2月7日消息称，根据EIA最新的短期能源展望(STEO)，美国能源情报署周二将2023年天然气交易中心Henry Hub价格下调了30.5%。
EIA现在认为Henry Hub的2023年天然气价格为每百万英热单位3.40美元，低于此前预测的每百万英热单位4.90美元。
去年Henry Hub天然气价格为6.42美元/百万英热单位。
EIA在其STEO报告中称，其修改了对Henry Hub天然气价格的预期，“原因是1月份的气温明显高于正常水平，导致用于空间供暖的天然气消费量低于正常水平，并将库存推高至五年平均水平以上”。
EIA估计，今年将是2013年以来全球LNG出口产能增加最少的一年。
在石油方面，EIA将其对2023年美国原油产量的展望从之前的1240万桶/天上调至1250万桶/天。相比之下，2022年美国原油产量平均为1190万桶/天，2021年美国原油产量为1125万桶/天。
曹海斌 摘译自 油价网
原文如下：
EIA Lowers 2023 Natural Gas Price Outlook By 30%
The U.S. Energy Information Administration lowered>The EIA now sees the 2023 natural gas price at Henry Hub at $3.40 per MMBtu, down from $4.90 per MMBtu in its previous forecast.
The Henry Hub natural gas price last year was $6.42 per MMBtu last year.
The EIA said it revised its outlook for Henry Hub prices “as a result of significantly warmer-than-normal weather in January that led to less-than-normal consumption of natural gas for space heating and pushed inventories above the five-year average,” the agency said in its STEO.
This lower than usual natural gas consumption in January saw inventories rise back above the five-year average.
The EIA estimated that this year will see the smallest amount of global LNG export capacity additions since 2013.
On the oil side of things, the EIA revised its outlook on U.S. crude oil production for 2023 up to 12.5 million bpd, from its previous forecast of 12.4 million bpd. For comparison, U.S. crude oil production in 2022 averaged 11.9 million bpd, with 2021 U.S. crude oil production coming in at 11.25 million bpd.
