中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博新闻社2023年2月5日报道，沙特阿拉伯能源大臣萨勒曼2月5日重申，尽管几位知名业内分析师表示，不断上升的需求将很快引发油价飙升，但沙特仍将对提高原油产量保持谨慎态度。
这位沙特阿拉伯能源大臣是在接受能源历史学家丹尼尔·尤金(Daniel Yergin)采访时发表上述讲话的，萨勒曼表示，欧佩克+联盟去年10月份决定每天减产200万桶原油产量，这一决定已被证明是正确的。此举引发了美国政府的不满。美国政府表示，全球经济需要增加原油供应，不过此后紧张局势有所缓解。
萨勒曼说：“如果当时人们信任我们，我们就不会经历这样的恐慌。”他指的是欧佩克+联盟宣布减产后，油价飙升至每桶近100美元。
欧佩克+联合部长级监督委员会周三（2月1日）召开会议，建议保持原油产量稳定。在经济复苏力度不确定的情况下，随着西方国家加强制裁，产能大国的原油出口量也不确定。
去年2月地缘政治冲突爆发后，布伦特原油价格飙升至每桶130美元左右。自那以后，油价跌至每桶80美元以下，利率上升和美元走强导致全球经济放缓。
然而，全球石油市场依然紧张。高盛集团以低库存和低备用产能为由，预计布伦特原油价格将在今年第三季度回升至每桶100美元上方。摩根士丹利也有类似的预测。
沙特阿拉伯能源大臣警告称，如果需求确实迅速回升，对能源生产商的制裁可能会适得其反。
萨勒曼说：“所有这些制裁、禁运，都将交织成一件事，而且只有一件事：在最需要的时候，各种能源供应都将短缺。”“这是我所担心的。”
李峻 编译自 彭博新闻社
原文如下：
Saudi Arabia to remain cautious>Saudi Arabia’s energy minister reiterated that the kingdom will remain cautious about raising oil production, even as several prominent analysts say rising demand will soon trigger a jump in prices.
The minister, speaking to energy historian Daniel Yergin, said OPEC+ had been proved correct with its decision in October to cut output by two million barrels a day. The move caused a fallout with the US, which said the world economy needed higher crude supplies, though tensions have since eased.
“If people had trusted us then, we wouldn’t have undergone the trepidations that happened,” he said, referring to a spike in prices to almost $100 a barrel after OPEC+ announced its move.
The alliance’s market-monitoring committee met>Brent soared to around $130 a barrel after the war last February. It’s since slumped below $80 a barrel, with rising interest rates and a strong dollar causing an economic slowdown.
Yet the oil market remains tight. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., citing low stockpiles and spare capacity among producers, sees Brent rising back above $100 a barrel in the third quarter. Morgan Stanley has a similar forecast.
The prince warned that sanctions against energy producers could backfire if and when demand does pick up quickly.
“All these sanctions, embargoes, they all will convolute into one thing and one thing only: lack of energy supplies of all kinds when they’re most needed,” he said. “That is my worry.”
