中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2023年2月2日报道，路透社2月2日报道说，美国管道运营商Enterprise产品合作伙伴公司预计，今年全球对美国原油和天然气的需求将增加，二叠纪盆地的油气产量也将随之增加。
尽管石油行业本身发出的信号表明，产量增长并非今年的优先事项，但上述乐观预期依然存在。尽管企业的最新数据显示去年第四季度石油产量有所下降，但他们还是做出了上述决定。
美国能源信息署预测，美国今年将日产1240万桶原油并在2024年前将达到1281万桶原油，这两年的原油日产量都将打破2019年1230万桶的年均纪录。
根据美国能源信息署的预测，今年二叠纪盆地的原油日产量将增加47万桶，达到创纪录的570万桶，这一数字受到了一些行业分析师和行业本身的质疑。活跃在页岩油气领域的石油公司称，高昂的成本是他们没有制定雄心勃勃的产量增长计划的原因之一，而股东回报则是另一个原因。
与这一议程一致，石油生产商今年没有制定大规模支出计划。最新的达拉斯联邦储备银行石油业调查显示，只有四分之一的受访者计划今年大幅增加支出，39%的受访者表示将适度增加支出。
与此同时，一些业内人士实际上预计二叠纪盆地的原油产量将会下降。先锋自然资源公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德在去年12月底曾表示，今年二叠纪盆地页岩油日产量的增长将比去年更加温和，仅为30万-40万桶，他指出，钻井公司的高质量探区正在耗尽，“而二叠纪盆地和巴肯盆地的高质量产量正在下降”，谢菲尔德如是说。
然而，Enterprise产品合作伙伴公司计划建造一个石油出口码头终端，并称，由于通往美国最大的石油出口终端科珀斯克里斯蒂港的管输油道已经满负荷运行，因此对这种设施有需求。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
U.S. Pipeline Operator Predicts A Big Year For The Permian Basin
Enterprise Products Partners, the pipeline operator, expects higher global demand for crude oil and natural gas from the United States this year and higher output from the Permian, Reuters has reported.
The optimistic expectations come despite signals from the oil industry itself that production growth is not among this year’s priorities. They also come despite Enterprises’ latest figures, which showed a decline in oil flows during the last quarter.
The Energy Information Administration, in its most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook, projected that the United States would produce 12.4 million bpd this year and 12.81 million barrels of crude oil per day by 2024—with both years breaking the annual record average of 12.3 million bpd reached in 2019.
The EIA’s projections see output from the Permian increasing by 470,000 bpd to a record 5.7 million bpd this year—a figure that has been questioned by some industry analysts and by the industry itself. Oil companies active in the shale patch have cited high costs as>In line with this agenda, oil producers are not making big spending plans for this year. The latest Dallas Fed oil industry survey showed that>Some in the industry actually expect a decline in Permian production, meanwhile. Pioneer Natural Resources’ chief executive Scott Sheffield said at the end of December that production growth in the shale patch this year would be even more modest than it was last year, at just 300,000-400,000 bpd, noting that drillers were running out of their high-quality acreage and “Less quality production is coming out of the Permian, out of the Bakken,” he said.
Enterprise Product Partners, however, has plans to build an oil export terminal and argues that there is demand for such a facility because the pipelines that lead to the biggest oil export conduit for U.S. oil, Corpus Christi, are running at capacity.
