中国石化新闻网讯 据钻井地带网站1月9日报道,uk.Investing.com的高级商品分析师Barani Krishnan称,本周石油市场可能出现一些波动。
他表示,经济方面的任何看涨消息,或者来自亚洲需求大国市场的消息,都可能在一段时间内引发2至3美元上涨。
但他强调,今年头两个交易日,WTI和伦敦交易的布伦特原油价格都下跌了10%,“根据以往数据,这至少是三十年来最糟糕的新年开局”。
他补充说:“即使是一些石油多头也被市场的急跌所震惊,即使把最严重的经济衰退和担忧考虑在内,也是如此。"
“在周五收盘时,这两个基准股都创下了一个月以来的最大周跌幅,因为即使是支持性的美国12月就业数据也无法维持当天早些时候的反弹。"Krishnan接着说。
据Krishnan称,对于那些普通看多者而言,期望2023年将是一个新的开始。
他说:"但现实表明,在经济衰退的担忧完全消除之前,石油价格达到100美元,甚至维持在每桶80美元以上的机会都存在悬念。"
在撰写本文时,西得克萨斯中质油WTI和布伦特油价分别为每桶76.28美元和81.02美元。这两种商品在2022年6月收盘时都远高于每桶120美元,然后在2022年12月稳步下降到每桶80美元以下。
曹海斌 摘译自 钻井地带网站
Oil Market Volatility Likely This Week
Some volatility in the oil market is likely this week, according to Barani Krishnan, a senior commodities analyst at uk.Investing.com.
Some volatility in the oil market is likely this week.
That’s according to Barani Krishnan, a senior commodities analyst at uk.Investing.com, who told Rigzone that any bullish news>In a Rigzone interview, Krishnan highlighted that the first two trading days of the year brought a 10 percent drop for both U.S. crude and London-traded Brent, which he said was “the worst start to a year in at least three decades, according to data”.
“Even some oil bulls were stunned by the sheer plunge of the market, even with the worst recession and Asian consumption fears being accounted for,” he added.
“At Friday’s close, both the benchmarks posted their biggest weekly loss in a month as even supportive U.S. jobs data for December could not sustain a rally seen earlier in the day,” Krishnan went>According to Krishnan, the average oil bull expected 2023 to be a reset year for those long the trade.
“But reality shows that until recession fears are totally out of the window, or that China’s Covid crisis is in much better control than now, the chance for a $100 oil, or even sustaining above $80 per barrel, may be a problem,” he said.
At the time of writing, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent oil was trading at $76.28 per barrel and $81.02 per barrel, respectively. Both commodities closed well above $120 per barrel in June last year, before steadily dropping to under $80 per barrel in December 2022.





