中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2022年12月27日报道，油价统计软件GasBuddy近日在CNN独家报道中预测，美国汽油价格最快在明年5月份就会回到每加仑4美元的门槛。GasBuddy预计，随着更多美国人重新上路驾驶，明年5月份美国全国平均汽油价格将从目前的每加仑3.10美元升至3.52美元至4.05美元。
经过几个月的持续攀升后，美国全国平均汽油价格已经降至每加仑3.104美元，在过去30天里，美国汽油价格下降了45美分，实际上比12个月前的价格还要低。
汽油价格之所以会像GasBuddy预测的那样逆转，有一个关键原因：原油价格上涨。
加拿大投资管理公司Ninepoint Partners LP的合伙人兼高级投资组合经理埃里克·纳托尔对英国《金融邮报》表示，2023年油价将回到每桶100美元。分析师们表示，今年阻碍油价上涨的许多不利因素，包括全球疫情政策和几个政府协调发布的释放战略石油储备，到2023年将不复存在。再加上对石油和天然气的制裁，这应该会推高油价。他还预测，由于对石油和天然气股票的高需求，明年能源板块的表现将继续优于其他市场板块。
纳托尔并不是唯一的看涨者。
上周，美国银行预测，在美联储温和转向以及全球成功重启经济的背景下，布伦特原油价格可能很快突破每桶90美元。
美国银行预测，布伦特原油价格(目前为84.62美元)在2023年每桶平均将达到100美元，这要归功于疫情后重新开放后石油需求的复苏，以及产能大国每天供应量减少约100万桶。根据这家美国投资银行的说法，欧佩克+明年可能会全面实施200万桶/天的减产计划，以提振油价。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
GasBuddy: $4 Gasoline Could Return In May
Gasoline prices could return to the $4-a-gallon threshold as soon as May, GasBuddy has projected in an exclusive with CNN. GasBuddy expects the national average to climb from the current $3.10 a gallon to a range of $3.52 to $4.05 in May as more Americans hit the roads.
After a relentless months-long climb, U.S. national average gas prices have declined to $3.104 per gallon per AAA. Gas prices have now declined 45 cents over the past 30 days and are actually lower than where they stood 12 months ago.
There’s a key reason why gas prices could reverse course as GasBuddy has predicted: rising crude prices.
Eric Nuttall, partner and senior portfolio manager at Ninepoint Partners LP, has told the Financial Post that oil prices will return to $100 per barrel in 2023. According to the analysts, many of the headwinds that have cut short the oil price rally this year, including global Covid policy and the coordinated SPR releases by several governments, will no longer be there in 2023. Coupled with sanctions>Nutall is not the>Last week, the Bank of America predicted that Brent could quickly go past $90 per barrel>BofA has forecast that Brent prices--currently trading at $84.62--will average $100/bbl in 2023 thanks to oil demand recovery on a post-COVID reopening coupled with a drop in Russian supplies of about 1 million barrels per day (bpd). According to the investment bank, OPEC+ is likely to fully implement a 2 million bpd output cut in a bid to boost oil prices.
