中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2022年11月2日报道，世界上最大的水力压裂服务提供商哈里伯顿公司表示，美国油气行业“指数式”增长的时代已经结束，因为大多数页岩公司正在把现金返还给投资者，而不是负债进行更多的钻探活动。
哈里伯顿公司首席执行官杰夫·米勒周二在阿布扎比ADIPEC能源会议的一个小组会上表示：“我们将看到投资增长，但坦白地说，这甚至无法与2008年至2014年相比。”
米勒称：“企业的支出达到现金流的120%，这种情况不可能无限期持续下去。”
然而，自疫情以来，美国页岩公司一直专注于向股东返还资金、偿还债务和改善资产负债表。 美国油气产量已经反弹，但增速远不及2018年或2019年的创纪录增速。
今年，供应链延误和成本膨胀，再加上美国页岩新发现的支出纪律，抑制了产量增长。
美国最大页岩生产商之一的先锋自然资源公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德曾表示，今年和明年美国石油产量增长可能会令人失望。
据路透社9月报道，谢菲尔德预测美国石油产量今年将日增50万桶，但2023年由于限制因素，产量增幅可能低于这一数字。
美国能源信息署在10月份的《短期能源展望》报告中表示，今年美国原油日产量将平均达到1170万桶，到2023年将达到1240万桶，这将超过2019年创下的历史新高。但美国能源信息署自今年年初以来下调了对经济增长的预测，而分析师表示，美国能源信息署目前的预测过于乐观。
美国石油和天然气行业继续对政府发出的混杂信息感到失望，政府继续指责石油公司应为高油价负责，并要求石油公司“降低加油站为消费者提供的燃料价格”。
本周，美国石油学会(API)总裁兼首席执行官迈克·索莫斯在评论政府关于汽油价格的最新言论时表示，如果石油公司不增加产量，他们将“为超额利润支付更高的税款，并面临其他限制”。政府应该认真解决供需失衡问题，这种失衡导致了汽油价格上涨，并带来了长期的能源挑战。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
Halliburton: The Era Of Exponential Growth In U.S. Oil And Gas Is Over
The era of “exponential” growth in the U.S. oil and gas industry is over as most shale firms are returning cash to investors instead of going into debt to drill more, according to Halliburton, the world’s largest fracking services provider.
“We'll see growing investment, but quite frankly, nothing even close to what we saw from 2008 to 2014,” Halliburton’s CEO Jeff Miller said at a panel at the ADIPEC energy conference in Abu Dhabi>“Companies were spending at a rate of 120 percent of their cash flow and that can’t go>Since the pandemic crash, however, the U.S. shale patch has focused>This year, supply chain delays and cost inflation have combined with U.S. shale’s newfound spending discipline to hold back production growth.
Pioneer Natural Resources CEO Scott Sheffield has said that U.S. oil production growth would likely disappoint both this year and next.
Sheffield has forecast that U.S. oil production will add 500,000 bpd this year but in 2023 the production gains may be lower than this, due to constraints, Reuters reported in September.
In its October Short-Term Energy Outlook, the EIA suggests that U.S. crude oil production will average 11.7 million bpd in 2022 and 12.4 million bpd in 2023, which would surpass the record high set in 2019. But the EIA has revised down its growth forecasts since the start of this year, while analysts say its current estimates are too optimistic.
The U.S. oil and gas industry continues to be frustrated with the mixed messages from the Administration, which continues to blame oil companies for high gasoline prices and demands that oil firms “lower the prices for consumers at the pump.”
Commenting on President's latest remarks on gasoline prices and the threat that oil firms are “going to pay a higher tax on their excess profits and face other restrictions” if they don’t increase output, American Petroleum Institute (API) President and CEO Mike Sommers said this week, “Rather than taking credit for price declines and shifting blame for price increases, the Administration should get serious about addressing the supply and demand imbalance that has caused higher gas prices and created long-term energy challenges.”
