欧洲的能源危机正在推动各国政府采取清洁能源政策
国际能源署（IEA）根据当前政府政策和环境制定的《世界能源展望》情景预测，全球对每种化石燃料的需求即将出现峰值或稳定期
IEA署长法提赫·比罗尔表示，“当前危机的影响之一是，全球天然气需求快速增长的时代即将结束”
中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网报道，全世界每年在可再生能源和其他清洁能源解决方案上投资数千亿美元，但如果仍有机会在2050年前实现净零排放，全世界每年需要投资超过一万亿美元。
这是国际能源署(IEA)本周发布的《2022年世界能源展望》报告中披露的一些关键调查结果。
IEA表示，由于持续的能源危机正在推动各国政府采取更强有力的政策，支持清洁能源，减少对化石燃料的依赖，特别是在爆发地缘政治冲突之后，可再生能源在电力领域的应用，将使煤炭和天然气的需求在本十年结束前达到峰值。
IEA表示，IEA基于当前政府政策和环境编制的《世界能源展望》情景，首次将全球对每种化石燃料的需求设定为峰值或稳定期。根据IEA的最新估计，就连此前预计需求将继续增长的天然气，现在也可能与煤炭和石油一样，在2030年前后达到峰值。
在既定政策情景(STEPS)中，煤炭使用量将在未来几年内下降，天然气需求有望在本十年末前达到平稳期，而电动汽车销量的上升意味着石油需求将在21世纪30年代中期趋于平稳，到本世纪中期前略有下降。
IEA署长法提赫·比罗尔表示：“当前危机的影响之一是，全球天然气需求快速增长的时代即将结束。”
“在欧洲，气候政策加速了对天然气的依赖。到本世纪20年代中期，新的供应将使天然气价格下降，液化天然气对天然气安全将变得更加重要。”
IEA的最新分析显示，近期煤炭价格的上涨幅度很小，而且只是暂时的。与此同时，可再生能源预计将继续飙升，蚕食煤炭和天然气在电力结构中的份额。
由于国内生产的清洁能源将减少对进口化石燃料的依赖，当前的能源危机可能成为更多采用可再生能源的转折点。
比罗尔说：“世界各国政府的应对措施承诺使这成为一个历史性和决定性的转折点，朝着更清洁、更负担得起和更安全的能源系统发展。”
这位IEA的负责人表示：“清洁能源的环境理由不需要加强，但支持具有成本竞争力和负担得起的清洁技术的经济理由现在更有力了——能源安全理由也是如此。今天对经济、气候和安全优先事项的调整已经开始使钟面朝着对世界人民和地球更好的结果移动。 ”
在《2022年世界能源展望》报告中，IEA表示，在净零排放(NZE)情景下，可再生能源发电的投资需要出现最大的增长之一，从近年的3900亿美元增加到2030年前的1.3万亿美元。
到2030年，这一年度支出水平是巨大的，但在能源行业并不罕见。IEA称，这将相当于化石燃料供应支出的最高水平，2014年化石燃料支出为1.3万亿美元。
如今，清洁能源投资规模巨大，但如果世界有机会在2050年前实现净零排放，就需要增加更多的投资。
IEA表示：“大幅增加能源投资对于降低未来价格飙升和波动的风险，以及在2050年前步入实现净零排放正轨至关重要。”
“平稳而安全的能源转型需要清洁能源投资的大幅增加。要想实现净零排放情景，到2030年需要将清洁能源和基础设施支出增加两倍，同时转向大幅增加对新兴市场和发展中经济体的投资。”
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
IEA: The Rapid Growth Of Natural Gas Demand Is Coming To An End
· Europe’s energy crisis is pushing governments to adopt clean energy policies.
· A World Energy Outlook scenario from the IEA based>· “One of the effects of the current crisis is that the era of rapid growth in global gas demand draws to a close,” the IEA’s Executive Director Fatih Birol said.
The world is investing hundreds of billions of U.S. dollars every year in renewable energy and other clean energy solutions, but it needs more than a trillion U.S. dollars in investments annually if it still stands a chance of reaching net-zero emissions by 2050.
These are some of the key findings in the World Energy Outlook 2022 published by the International Energy Agency (IEA) this week.
Deployment of renewable energy sources in electricity is set to bring peak demand for coal and natural gas by the end of this decade, as the>For the first time ever, a World Energy Outlook scenario from the IEA based>In the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS), coal use is set to fall within the next few years, natural gas demand is expected to reach a plateau by the end of the decade, and rising sales of electric vehicles (EVs) mean that oil demand will level off in the mid-2030s before ebbing slightly by mid-century.
“One of the effects of the current crisis is that the era of rapid growth in global gas demand draws to a close,” the IEA’s Executive Director Fatih Birol said.
“In Europe, climate policies accelerate the shift away from gas. New supply brings prices down by the mid-2020s, and LNG becomes even more important to gas security,” Birol added.
The recent rise in coal is small and>The current energy crisis could be the turning point for an even greater adoption of renewables, as domestically-produced clean energy will reduce reliance>“Government responses around the world promise to make this a historic and definitive turning point towards a cleaner, more affordable and more secure energy system,” Birol said.
“The environmental case for clean energy needed no reinforcement, but the economic arguments in favour of cost-competitive and affordable clean technologies are now stronger – and so too is the energy security case. Today’s alignment of economic, climate and security priorities has already started to move the dial towards a better outcome for the world’s people and for the planet,” said the head of the agency.
In the World Energy Outlook 2022, the IEA said that electricity generation from renewables needs to see>This level of annual spending in 2030 is huge, but not unseen in the energy industry.
It would be equal to the highest level ever spent>Clean energy investment is massive today, but it needs to rise much more if the world has a chance to get to net zero by 2050.
“A huge increase in energy investment is essential to reduce the risks of future price spikes and volatility, and to get>“A smooth and secure energy transition will require a major uptick in clean energy investment flows. Getting on track for the NZE Scenario will require a tripling in spending on clean energy and infrastructure to 2030, alongside a shift towards much higher investment in emerging market and developing economies.”
