据离岸工程网站9月28日消息 TotalEnergies周一预测，全球石油需求预计将在2030年前达到峰值，比此前预测的要早。
这家法国石油巨头此前预测峰值将出现在2030年左右，而不是之前。该公司表示，其业务目前的假设是，全球消费将在本世纪末之前开始下降。
TotalEnergies在其《年度能源展望》中表示，到2050年，石油需求将降至4000万或6400万桶/天，这取决于政策和习惯改变的力度。
根据国际能源机构的数据，在新冠疫情重创经济活动之前，2019年全球每天消耗9970万桶石油。
TotalEnergies表示，尽管如此，天然气将继续作为过渡燃料发挥作用，特别是在采用碳捕获和甲烷排放控制技术的情况下。
这家总部位于巴黎的集团还表示，预计到2050年，发电量将增加一倍以上，风能和太阳能占增长的85%以上。
生产商和贸易商在周一的一次行业会议上表示，随着经济复苏，全球石油需求预计将在明年初达到疫情前的水平，尽管闲置的炼油产能可能会影响前景。
吴恒磊 编译自 离岸工程
原文如下：
Norway's August Oil Output Beats Forecast, Gas Lags
Global oil demand is expected to peak before 2030, earlier than previously projected, TotalEnergies forecast align="justify"> The French oil major - which had previously forecast the peak happening around 2030, rather than before - said its business was now working align="justify"> Oil demand would drop to 40 or 64 million barrels per day by 2050, depending align="justify"> The world consumed 99.7 million barrels per day of oil in 2019, according to the International Energy Agency, before the COVID-19 pandemic hammered economic activities.
TotalEnergies said, though, that natural gas would continue to play a role as a transition fuel, particularly when accompanied by carbon capture and methane emissions control techniques, it said.
The Paris-based group also said it expected power generation to more than double by 2050, with wind and solar energy accounting for more than 85% of the increase.
Producers and traders said at an industry conference on Monday that global oil demand was expected to reach pre-pandemic levels by early next year as the economy recovers, although spare refining capacity could weigh on the outlook.
