欧佩克+同意增加供应后油价上涨

   2021-09-06 IP属地 浙江中国石化3040
核心提示:   据世界能源9月3日消息:欧佩克在其部长级会议上宣布保持政策不变,同意本月每天将40万桶的产量重新投入市场后,油价在周四

   据世界能源9月3日消息:欧佩克在其部长级会议上宣布保持政策不变,同意本月每天将40万桶的产量重新投入市场后,油价在周四下午的交易中上涨。

  阿联酋时间下午5点47分,国际基准布伦特原油价格上涨1.87%,收于每桶72.93美元。追踪美国原油等级的西德克萨斯中质原油突破每桶70美元关口,飙升2.26%,收于每桶70.14美元。

  以沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯为首的石油出口国联盟(欧佩克+)已开始缩减一项历史性的产量限制协议,并计划在今年年底前将200万桶/天的产量带回市场。

  该组织没有屈服于白宫的压力,后者上月敦促生产商向市场提供更多供应。

  今年8月,美国呼吁欧佩克及其盟友增加供应,以刺激需求,并为国内高油价提供缓冲。

  “如果不加以控制,汽油价格上涨有可能损害正在进行的全球复苏。原油价格已经高于2019年底疫情爆发前的水平。”他当时表示。

  欧佩克+周三晚间做出决定后,油价立即下跌,因为市场预计近期将有大量供应涌入。然而,价格在周四保持稳定。

  欧佩克在周三会议后表示:“尽管新冠疫情的影响继续带来一些不确定性,但市场基本面已得到加强,随着复苏加速,经合组织(OECD)股票继续下跌。”

  该公司表示,7月份对产量限制的遵守率达到109%。

  该组织还将产量超过配额的国家进行补偿性削减的时间延长到12月底。生产商被要求在9月17日前提交他们的进一步减产计划。

  MUFG银行欧洲、中东和非洲新兴市场研究主管埃桑·科曼表示:“在这次低风险会议上,欧佩克+围绕一个单一信息达成了一致,并在9月1日维持其每日递增40万桶的产量增长。”

  他表示:“这将在秋季几个月维持市场的赤字,使现货溢价的时间价差保持不变,表明供应紧张。现货溢价是看涨结构,即近期合约价格高于后期合约。”

  该集团的联合部长级监督委员会预计,2022年石油日产量将达到250万桶,这将阻止油价飙升。

  俄罗斯副总理兼欧佩克首席谈判代表亚历山大·诺瓦克在欧佩克+会议之前表示,作为欧佩克最大产油国,俄罗斯可能会将供应提高到超过配额限制的水平。

  油价受到美元疲软和艾达飓风对美国墨西哥湾沿岸影响造成的供应问题的影响。

  Oanda亚太区高级市场分析师杰弗里·哈雷表示:“无法分别维持在72美元和68美元的支撑位,这表明下行趋势仍是目前阻力最小的路径。”

  他表示:“同样值得注意的是,美国原油库存的大幅下降以及飓风“艾达”导致的停产,并未对油价产生实质性的支撑作用。”

  欧佩克+将于10月4日召开下一次部长级会议。

  冯娟 摘译自 世界能源

  原文如下:

  Oil Rises After Opec+ Agrees to more Supply

  Oil prices rose in afternoon trading align="justify">  Brent, the international benchmark, rose 1.87 per cent to trade at $72.93 per barrel at 5.47pm UAE time. West Texas Intermediate, which tracks US crude grades, breached the $70 per barrel threshold, surging 2.26 per cent to trade at $70.14 per barrel.

  Opec+, the oil exporters alliance headed by Saudi Arabia and Russia, has begun to taper a historic production restriction pact and plans to bring two million bpd back to the markets by the end of the year.

  The group did not succumb to pressure from the White House, which last month urged producers to bring more supply to the markets.

  In August, US called align="justify">  “Higher gasoline costs, if left unchecked, risk harming the align="justify">  Oil prices fell immediately after the decision by Opec+ align="justify">  "While the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic continue to cast some uncertainty, market fundamentals have strengthened and OECD [Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development] stocks continue to fall as the recovery accelerates," Opec said after the meeting align="justify">  Conformity with output curbs reached 109 per cent in July, it said.

  The group also extended the timeline for countries that produced more than their quota to make compensatory cuts until the end of December. The producers have been asked to submit their plans to make additional cuts by September 17.

  "In what was a low stakes meeting, Opec+ unified around a singular message and maintained its incremental 0.4 million bpd monthly production hikes align="justify">  "This will uphold the market in deficit over the autumn months, keeping time spreads in backwardation – bullish structure where near-dated contracts trade at a premium to later-dated align="justify">  The group's joint ministerial monitoring committee expects a surplus of 2.5 million bpd in 2022, which is expected to prevent a surge in oil prices.

  Alexander Novak, Russia’s deputy prime minister and top Opec negotiator, said before the Opec+ meeting that the country, the largest producer in the alliance, could raise its supply over its quota limits.

  Oil prices have been swayed by a weakening dollar and supply problems caused by the effect of Hurricane Ida align="justify">  "The inability to maintain support at $72 and $68, respectively, suggests that the downside remains the path of least resistance now," said Jeffrey Halley, Asia-Pacific senior market analyst at Oanda.

  "It is also notable that the giant falls in US crude inventories and the production closures from Hurricane Ida have had no meaningful supportive impacts align="justify">  Opec+ will convene its next ministerial meeting on October 4.

 
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