据安迅思伦敦8月18日消息，德国化学工业协会VCI周三表示，受上半年表现强劲的影响，2021年德国化工销售收入预计同比将增长11%。
VCI预测今年全年德国化工销售收入将增长11%达到2110亿欧元，此前在今年6月份该机构预测今年全年德国化工销售收入将增长8%。
该机构仍保持今年全年德国化工产量将增长4.5%的预测目标不变。
不过该机构将今年德国化工销售价格上涨预期从3.5%上调至6.5%。
VCI表示，今年德国化工行业的销售收入将自2018年以来第二次突破2000亿欧元大关，并将大大超过新型冠状病毒大流行前的销售水平。
该机构表示，尽管中间产品供应瓶颈和国际供应链中断限制了产量，但鉴于客户需求强劲，对下半年化工行业的表现仍有信心。
VCI上调今年全年德国化工销售收入增长幅度主要是因为上半年表现强劲，今年上半年德国化工销售收入同比增长12%达到1110亿欧元，价格上涨4.7%，产量增长5.9%。不包括药品，产量增长8.2%。其中无机基础化学品产量同比增长6.3%，石化产品及衍生物产量同比增长6.9%，聚合物产量同比增长20.3%，精细和特种化学品产量同比增长8.7%，清洁剂、卫生产品和化妆品产量同比下降1.8%，药品产量同比增长1.4%。
VCI表示，尽管持续受到疫情的影响和供应链挑战，但上半年的表现仍然取得了成功。上半年德国化工行业产能利用率为86%，五家生产商中有一家达到了满负荷生产。
张春晓 摘译自 ICIS
原文如下：
Germany's 2021 chemicals sales to rise 11% after strong first half
Germany's chemicals sales are expected to rise 11% in 2021, year align="justify"> Full-year sales are now expected to rise 11% to 211bn, up from the 8% expected by VCI in its previous forecast from June.
The group left its 2021 production growth forecast unchanged at 4.5%.
However, it raised its forecast for chemical producer prices to 6.5%, from 3.5%.
For the second time since 2018, Germany’s chemical industry would break through the barrier of 200bn in sales, and it would significantly exceed the pre-coronavirus pandemic sales level, VCI said.
Even if bottlenecks in the supply of intermediate products and disruptions in international supply chains limit production, the industry remains confident for H2 given the “large excess in customer demand”, the group said.
The new full-year forecast comes after H1 sales rose 12% year align="justify"> The H1 performance was achieved despite the align="justify"> Capacity utilisation was at 86%, with align="justify"> H1 production growth by major product categories:
Inorganic basic chemicals 6.3%
Petrochemicals and derivatives 6.9%
Polymers 20.3%
Fine and specialty chemicals 8.7%
Detergents, hygiene, cosmetics -1.8%
Pharmaceuticals 1.4%
