俄罗斯预计未来四年油价将在45-80美元之间

   2021-02-02 IP属地 浙江中国石化5920
核心提示:据今日油价网站1月28日消息根据俄罗斯能源部在天然气行业总体规划草案中制定的一系列情景,到2035年,原油价格将在每桶45美元至

据今日油价网站1月28日消息 根据俄罗斯能源部在天然气行业总体规划草案中制定的一系列情景,到2035年,原油价格将在每桶45美元至80美元之间波动。

塔斯社援引俄罗斯能源部炼油和天然气处理司司长Anton Rubtsov的话报道称:“油价区间(每桶45美元到80美元)这是一个非常重要的范围,使我们能够看到边界条件,以便我们在特定情况下确定措施。”

石油价格对这类天然气开发计划很重要,因为长期天然气供应协议是根据国际石油价格计算。然而,长期油价预测尤为不可靠,因为在这段时间内可能发生的不可预见的事件太多。

眼下,油价再次走高,美国能源信息署(EIA)公布上周原油库存大幅减少,美国新病例数量终于开始下降。美国政府暂时禁止在联邦土地上开采石油和天然气的举动助长了看涨情绪。然而,对疫情反复的担忧抑制了油价上涨,再次凸显了亚洲对国际石油市场的核心重要性。

与此同时,银行对石油行业也越来越乐观:据本周早些时候发布的报告,随着今年新冠疫情的消退,银行预计油价将进一步上涨,进而提高油气收入,减少陷入困境的贷款数量。

当然,任何进一步的价格复苏都取决于欧佩克+至少在短期内抑制产量增长,正如它取决于疫情后人们所希望的燃料需求改善一样。

王磊 摘译自 今日油价

原文如下:

Russia Expects Oil Between $45 And $80 By 2035

Crude oil prices will trade in a range between $45 a barrel and $80 a barrel in the period until 2035, under a set of scenarios developed by the Russian energy ministry in a draft general plan for the gas industry.

"Scenario conditions [imply] the range of oil prices from the lower to the upper limit - from $45 to $80 per barrel. This is a very significant range that allows us to see the boundary conditions in order to determine the measures, our actions in a particular scenario," said the director of the Oil Refining and Gas Processing Department at the Ministry of Energy, Anton Rubtsov, as quoted by TASS.

Oil prices are important for gas development plans of this sort because long-term gas supply deals are calculated based Right now, oil is Banks, meanwhile, are also getting optimistic about the oil industry: lenders expect further price improvement as the pandemic subsides this year, which would, in turn, boost oil and gas revenues and reduce the number of loans in distress, Natural Gas Intel reported earlier this week.

Of course, any further price recovery hinges on OPEC+ keeping the lid on production growth at least over the short term as much as it hinges on the hoped-for improvement in fuel demand after the pandemic.

 
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