高盛预计布伦特原油价格夏季将达到65美元

   2021-01-15 IP属地 浙江中国石化10030
核心提示:据1月12日OilMonster消息:高盛周一表示,受沙特减产影响,布伦特原油价格可能在2021年夏季升至每桶65美元。这家华尔街投资银行

据1月12日Oil Monster消息:高盛周一表示,受沙特减产影响,布伦特原油价格可能在2021年夏季升至每桶65美元。

这家华尔街投资银行此前预测,油价将在年底达到65美元。

上周,世界银行表示,沙特承诺减产的幅度超过其与其他欧佩克+产油国签订的协议所要求的幅度,这表明在新冠病毒封锁后,石油需求正在减弱。

布伦特原油周一一度下跌1美元,至每桶55美元左右。而2020年油价下跌约20%。

该行预测,标普/高盛商品指数(GSCI)在未来3个月、6个月和12个月期间的大宗商品回报率分别为5.8%、9.5%和10.2%。

该银行称,贵金属在未来12个月内预计将上涨28.7%,其次是能源,为13.7%,工业金属为13.3%,农业将下跌4.4%。

“然而,鉴于最近的反弹幅度,市场近期可能会进行整固,”该行表示。

该行去年11月预计,未来3个月、6个月和12个月的回报率分别为3.4%、9.4%和26.8%左右。

冯娟 摘译自 Oil Monster

原文如下:

Goldman Expects Brent Oil Prices to Reach $65 Per Barrel in Summer 2021

Brent oil prices could rise to $65 per barrel by summer 2021, Goldman Sachs said The Wall Street investment bank had previously predicted oil would hit $65 by year-end.

The Democrat-led sweep of the U.S. Senate runoff elections and Saudi Arabia's recent announcement of unilateral production cuts have left commodity markets with a "tighter" medium-term outlook, analysts at the bank said in a note.

Last week, the bank said Saudi Arabia's pledge to cut its output by more than required under its pact with other OPEC+ producers points to weakening oil demand following new COVID-19 lockdowns.

Brent crude fell as much as $1 per barrel The bank forecast returns of 5.8%, 9.5% and 10.2% Precious metals were seen returning 28.7% over a 12-month period, followed by energy at 13.7% and industrial metals at 13.3%, while agriculture would lose 4.4%, the bank said.

"Given the magnitude of the recent rally, however, markets are likely to consolidate near-term," the bank said.

The bank had in November forecast returns of about 3.4%, 9.4% and 26.8% respectively over a three-, six- and 12- month period.

 
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