据能源世界网1月4日新加坡报道,周一即2021第一个交易日,在欧佩克及其盟国产油国举行会议之前,油价小幅下跌,该会议将讨论2月份的产量水平,随着新冠疫情的持续,对上半年需求的担忧渗透到市场。
格林尼治标准时间00:38,3月份布伦特原油价格为每桶51.76美元,下跌4美分,跌幅0.08%;2月份美国西德克萨斯中质原油价格下跌9美分,跌幅0.2%,跌至48.43美元/桶。
石油输出国组织(OPEC)秘书长穆罕默德·巴金多(Mohammad Barkindo)周日表示,虽然原油需求预计今年将增加590万桶/日至9590万桶/日,但该组织预计2021年上半年将出现大量下行需求风险。我们才刚刚从过去一年的大幅投资削减、大量失业和有记录以来最严重的原油需求破坏中走出来。
截至2020年末,油价比2019年平均水平低约20%,尽管世界主要产油国同意去年创纪录的减产,但仍未从抗击新冠疫情的全球经济封锁措施的影响中恢复。封锁措施降低了燃料需求。
欧佩克和包括俄罗斯在内盟国的作欧佩克+的组织,在上个月的一次会议上决定,在1月份将石油日产量提高50万桶,预计需求将会增加,并同意每月开会评估产量。
Energy Aspects和RBC Capital的分析师表示,欧佩克+可能会在2月份维持1月份的产量水平。
RBC Capital的Helima Croft表示,我们认为,随着新冠病例继续攀升,且疫苗推出速度慢于预期,生产商将选择放弃2月份的任何进一步增产。
根据美国政府1月1日公布的一份报告显示,由于油价疲软和需求不温不火,美国去年10月原油日产量较去年早些时候下降逾200万桶。
郝芬 译自 能源世界网
原文如下:
Oil prices slip after OPEC warns of downside risks to demand in first-half 2021
Oil prices edged lower Brent crude for March was at $51.76 a barrel, down 4 cents or 0.08%, by 0038 GMT while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for February fell 9 cents, or 0.2%, to $48.43 a barrel.
Mohammad Barkindo, Secretary General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), said "We are Prices ended 2020 about 20% below 2019's average, still recovering from the impact of global economic lockdown measures imposed to battle COVID-19 that slashed fuel demand, even though the world's major producers agreed record output cuts through the year.
OPEC and allied producers including Russia, a grouping known as OPEC+, decided at a meeting last month to raise output by 500,000 barrels per day in January, anticipating a boost in demand, and agreed to meet every month to review production.
Analysts from Energy Aspects and RBC Capital said OPEC+ was likely to maintain January production levels in February.
"We think the producer group will opt to forgo any further production increases for February with COVID-19 cases continuing to climb and the slower-than-expected vaccine rollout," RBC Capital's Helima Croft said.
In the United States, crude oil production stayed under pressure from weak prices and tepid demand, down more than 2 million barrels per day (bpd) in October from earlier this year, a government report showed on Jan. 1.





