据11月12日CNBC报道，能源行业的高管们表示，石油需求将在明年复苏，但他们预计，随着该行业摆脱冠状病毒大流行的影响，波动性仍将居高不下。
道达尔首席执行官潘彦磊（Patrick Pouyanné）在在周三举行的阿布扎比首席执行官圆桌会议上表示：“我们面临着很多不确定性”。该会议邀请了30多位石油和天然气巨头的高级管理人员参加。
潘彦磊说：“我们都希望需求能够尽快恢复，但没有人确切知道要摆脱大流行需要多长时间，什么时候接种该疫苗以及重新开放全球经济需要多长时间。”
一位熟悉讨论情况的消息人士称，与六月份举行的上次会议相比，高管们的情绪更为乐观，有关潜在疫苗的消息令高管们增强了信心。与会成员对全球经济复苏持谨慎乐观的态度，并讨论了将重点放在降低成本和获得技术收益上的必要性。
BP首席执行官伯纳德·卢尼（Bernard Looney）对聚集的高管说：“我们应该乐观，我们应该有现实感。
卢尼补充说：“我们无法控制产品的价格，但可以控制成本结构，投资水平以及效率。”“从长远来看，我们在该行业成长时所学到的基本知识将为我们提供良好的服务。”
国际能源机构（IEA）此前曾表示，今年的全球能源需求下降幅度将是2008/2009年金融危机后下降幅度的七倍。大多数分析师预计，全球石油需求将需要几年时间才能恢复到危机前的每天1亿桶的水平。
沈彦 摘译自 CNBC
原文如下：
Oil CEOs believe a demand recovery is coming, but volatility is here to stay
Top energy chief executives say oil demand will recover next year, but they expect volatility to remain elevated, as the industry emerges from the reckoning of the coronavirus pandemic.
“We face a lot of uncertainty,” Total CEO Patrick Pouyanne told an invitation-only gathering of more than 30 senior oil and gas executives, who met virtually “We all hope that demand will recover as quickly as possible,” Pouyanne said. “Nobody knows exactly how long it will take to get out of the pandemic, when we’ll have this vaccine, and how long it will take to reopen the global economy,” he added.
A source familiar with the discussions said the mood among the executives was more upbeat than the last meeting held in June, with news of a potential vaccine giving executives a boost of confidence. Leaders expressed a cautious optimism about the global economic recovery and discussed the need to focus “We should have optimism, and we should have a sense of reality,” BP CEO Bernard Looney told the gathered executives.
“We don’t control the price of our product, but we do control our cost structure, our investment levels, and the efficiency of that,” Looney added. “The fundamentals that we all learned as we were growing up in this industry will serve us well in the long run.”
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has previously said that this year’s global energy demand decline will be seven times larger than the fall following the 2008/2009 financial crisis. Most analysts expect global oil demand will take several years to recover to pre-crisis levels of 100 million barrels per day.
