据阿联酋通讯社6月24日报道,OPEC预计,全球石油需求增长将从2019年上半年的低迷表现中得到改善,预计2019年下半年将增长120万桶/天。
OPEC在其最新月度石油市场报告中表示:“美洲经济合作与发展组织(OECD)预计,受轻质馏分油需求推动,预计今年下半年,经合组织地区石油产量将同比增长20万桶/天。
相比之下,经合组织预计,欧洲经济增长将放缓,而亚太地区将因石化原料需求下降而下滑。
OPEC预计,2019年下半年,非OPEC国家的供应增长将显示出进一步的上行潜力,预计美国的产量将会增加,巴西的产量也会增加,挪威在北海的Johan Sverdrup油田可能会投产,预测增长量达214万桶/天。
报告总结:综上所述在2019年上半年全球经济放缓,并将在2019年下半年进一步受到挑战,主要是国际贸易争端增多,对石油需求增长的影响仍不确定。尽管非OPEC产油国的石油供应继续增长,但2019年下半年关键地区的增产程度将成主要决定因素。
洪伟立 摘译自 阿联酋通讯社
原文如下:
Global oil demand growth to improve in H2-2019: OPEC
OPEC has expected global oil demand growth to improve seasonally, from the sluggish performance seen in H1-2019, with growth in H2-2019 forecast at 1.2 million barrels/day y-o-y.
"The OECD region is forecast to increase by 200,000 b/d y-o-y in 2H19,In contrast, OECD Europe is forecast to contract due to slower economic momentum, while OECD Asia Pacific will decline For H2-19, OPEC expects non-OPEC supply growth to show further upside potential, with higher production expected in the US, as well as production ramp-ups in Brazil and possibly the start-up of Norway’s Johan Sverdrup field in the North Sea, leading to a growth forecast of 2.14m b/d for 2019.
"In summary, the observed slowdown in the global economy in H1-19 will further be challenged in H2-19, mainly by mounting trade disputes, with the impact





