据TABNinfo 网站2018年12月24日华盛顿报道，国际能源署（IEA）日前在一份新报告中表示，虽然今年全球煤炭需求看起来将连续第二年增加，但由于欧洲和北美对煤炭需求下降被印度和东南亚对煤炭需求强劲增长所抵消，全球煤炭需求预计在未来的5年里将保持稳定。
根据IEA题为《煤炭2018》的报告，空气质量和气候政策、煤炭撤资运动、逐步淘汰煤炭的公告、可再生能源成本下降以及天然气供应充足都在给煤炭需求带来压力。
因此，到2023年前，煤炭对全球能源结构的贡献预计将从2017年的27%小幅下降至25%。
但由于煤炭的可承受性和可获得性，亚洲大部分地区对煤炭的需求都在增长。印度是全球煤炭增长最快的国家，但由于可再生能源的大规模扩张以及新燃煤发电厂使用超临界温度技术，印度对煤炭需求的增速正在放缓，年增长率为3.9%。印度尼西亚、越南、菲律宾、马来西亚和巴基斯坦的煤炭需求和使用量预计也将大幅增加。
李峻 编译自 TABNinfo
原文如下：
Global coal demand to stay stable through 2023: IEA
While global coal demand looks set to rise for the second year in a row in 2018, it is forecast to remain stable over the next five years, as declines in Europe and North America are offset by strong growth in India and Southeast Asia, said the International Energy Agency (IEA) in a new report.
Air quality and climate policies, coal divestment campaigns, phase-out announcements, declining costs of renewables and abundant supplies of natural gas are all putting pressure As a result, coal’s contribution to the global energy mix is forecast to decline slightly from 27 per cent in 2017 to 25 per cent by 2023.
But coal demand grows across much of Asia due to its affordability and availability. India sees the largest increase of any country, although the rate of growth, at 3.9 per cent per year, is slowing, dampened by a large-scale expansion of renewables and the use of supercritical technology in new coal power plants. Significant increases in coal use are also expected in Indonesia, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia and Pakistan.
