据普氏能源资讯12月18日莫斯科报道，俄罗斯能源部长亚历山大·诺瓦克周二在莫斯科表示，他预计明年俄罗斯原油年产量将在5.55亿 – 5.56亿吨(1114.5万 – 1116.5万桶/天)左右，但他表示，由于欧佩克同意减产，这一数字可能会下调。
诺瓦克说：“在一年的时间里，许多事情可能会发生变化，这取决于协调一致的联合行动的决定。明年的预测是5.55亿 – 5.56亿吨，但可能会下调三百四百万吨到我想是5.52亿吨。”
根据标准普尔全球普氏能源资讯以每吨7.33桶计算，5.52亿吨相当于每天1108.5万桶左右。
本月早些时候，欧佩克和非欧佩克产油国同意从2019年1月起将原油产量削减6个月，承诺以2018年10月的产量水平为基准，将日产量总计削减120万桶。在40万桶/天的非欧佩克产油国承诺中，俄罗斯已承诺将日产量削减22.8万桶，但俄罗斯计划逐步实现这一目标。2018年10月，俄罗斯石油日产量曾达到创纪录的1141万桶。
诺瓦克星期二说，俄罗斯可能在明年第一季度达到目标。此前他曾预计俄罗斯1月份原油日产量将下降5万至6万桶。
李峻 编译自 普氏能源资讯
原文如下：
Novak sees Russia's 2019 crude oil output at 11.165 mil b/d, possibly lower Russian energy minister Alexander Novak expects his country's crude oil output in 2019 to be around 555-556 million mt (11.145-11.165 million b/d) but said this figure could be revised downwards due to OPEC+ agreements to cut production, the Prime news agency reported him as saying Tuesday.
"A lot can change over the course of a year, depending A figure of 552 million mt would be equivalent to around 11.085 million b/d according to calculations by S&P Global Platts, based Earlier this month OPEC and non-OPEC countries agreed to cut crude output for six months from January 2019, pledging to take a combined total of 1.2 million b/d off the market, using October 2018 production levels as the baseline. Of the 400,000 b/d non-OPEC commitment, Russia has pledged to reduce output by 228,000 b/d, although it plans to reach this target gradually. Russia produced a record level of 11.41 million b/d in October 2018.
Novak said Tuesday that Russia may reach its target in the first quarter. Previously he predicted that output will fall by 50,000-60,000 b/d in January.
