原油基准受益于赤字问题

   2018-12-17 IP属地 浙江中国石化2300

据OGJ网休斯顿12月14日消息 12月13日原油基准价格上涨超过1美元,有迹象显示全球石油市场出现新的赤字。

12月12日报道了美国原油库存下降的消息。《每周石油状况报告》显示截至12月7日当周,美国石油产量下降10万桶/日至1160万桶/日。据国际能源署数据加之欧佩克和某些非欧佩克成员国同意在未来6个月削减120万桶/天的产量,到2019年第二季度可能出现供应短缺。

德国商业银行分析师在12月13日的一份研究报告中表示,“我们预计大部分商定的减产计划将实施,这将在一年内消除市场供过于求的局面,并帮助布伦特原油再次获得立足点。我们预计2019年底布伦特原油价格为70美元/桶,实际上可能要到2020年底。”

纽约商业交易所1月轻质低硫原油合约上涨1.43美元,收于52.58美元/桶。

1月天然气期货价格下跌2澳分,收于12月13日的4.12美元/百万英热。

1月份超低硫柴油价格小幅上涨3澳分至1.88美元/加仑。1月纽约商业交易所新配方汽油混合原油价格上涨6澳分至1.48美元/加仑。

2月布伦特原油在伦敦国际商品交易所上涨1.30美元至61.45美元/桶。1月份的天然气合约价格为557.50美元/吨,下跌7.50美元。

吴慧丹 摘译自 OGJ

原文如下:

Crude oil benchmark prices settled over $1 higher Dec. 13 as signs point to an emerging global oil market deficit.

News of a drop in US crude stocks was reported Dec. 12. The weekly Petroleum Status Report showed US oil production dropped 100,000 b/d to 11.6 million b/d for the week ended Dec. 7. Couple that with the agreement—assuming adhesion—by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and certain non-OPEC members to cut a total of 1.2 million b/d of production for 6 months, and you could have a supply deficit by second-quarter 2019, according to the International Energy Agency.

Commerzbank analysts, in a Dec. 13 research note, said, “We expect most of the agreed production cuts to be implemented, which will eliminate the market oversupply during the course of the year and help Brent gain a foothold again. We envisage a Brent price of $70/bbl at the end of 2019, and indeed at the end of 2020.”

The January light, sweet crude contract Natural gas futures for January declined 2¢ to close at a rounded $4.12/MMbtu Ultralow-sulfur diesel for January edged up 3¢ to a rounded $1.88/gal. The NYMEX reformulated gasoline blendstock for January increased 6¢ to a rounded $1.48/gal.

Brent crude oil for February gained $1.30 to $61.45/bbl  

 
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