据路透社伦敦12月13日消息，国际能源署(IEA)周四表示，由于OPEC与俄罗斯等国达成产出协议，且加拿大决定削减供应，全球石油市场可能会比预期更快地陷入赤字。
总部位于巴黎的IEA对2019年全球石油需求增长的预测保持在140万桶/天，与上个月的预测持平，并表示预计今年将增长130万桶/天。
随着供应增长加快，全球经济的不确定性可能会影响明年的石油消费。
IEA表示，“尽管油价较10月初的峰值已大幅回落，但到2019年，我们的需求增长前景依然为140万桶/天。”
“油价下跌提供的一些支撑，将被全球经济增长放缓所抵消，尤其是在一些新兴经济体。”
OPEC上周与俄罗斯、阿曼和其他产油国达成协议，从明年1月起将石油产量削减120万桶/天，以遏制未使用的燃料库存的增加。
IEA表示，加拿大阿尔伯塔省政府决定迫使石油生产商减少供应，这将使明年原油产量下降幅度最大。
本季度到目前为止，油价已下跌近三分之一，从10月初接近每桶87美元的四年高点降至61美元左右。
陈菲 摘译自 路透社
原文如下：
IEA sees global oil supply tightening more quickly in 2019
The global oil market could move into deficit sooner than expected, thanks to OPEC’s output agreement with Russia and others and to Canada’s decision to cut supply, the International Energy Agency said The Paris-based IEA kept its 2019 forecast for global oil demand growth at 1.4 million barrels per day, unchanged from its projection last month, and said it expected growth of 1.3 million bpd this year.
Uncertainty over the global economy could undermine oil consumption next year, as growth in supply gathers pace.
“For 2019, our demand growth outlook remains at 1.4 million bpd even though oil prices have fallen back considerably since the early October peak,” the IEA said.
“Some of the support provided by lower prices will be offset by weaker economic growth globally, and particularly in some emerging economies.”
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed last week with Russia, Oman and other producers to cut oil output by 1.2 million bpd from January to stem a build-up in unused inventories of fuel.
The decision by the government of Canada’s Alberta province to force oil producers to curtail supply will bring the largest reduction to crude output next year, the IEA said.
The oil price has fallen by nearly a third so far this quarter to around $61 a barrel, from a four-year peak close to $87 in early October.
