据WENews.com网站11月4日休斯顿报道，加拿大的一个行业组织周四预测，由于大幅降价抑制了生产，加拿大明年的油气钻探活动将减少5%。
由于严重的管道瓶颈问题，加拿大石油生产商收集的价格远低于美国基准，而油价疲软可能会导致这个全球第5大产油国生产商限制加拿大的钻探预算。
加拿大石油服务协会(PSAC)预测，加拿大2019年将钻探6600口新井，为三年来最少，低于今年估计的6980口。PSAC预计，与西德克萨斯中质原油相比，加拿大重质原油的折扣(或价差)平均为24.50美元/桶，而2019年WTI原油平均价格为69美元/桶。
目前的巨大价差几乎是明年预测水平的两倍。
PSAC首席执行官汤姆?惠伦表示：“虽然我们已经从2015年和2016年的黑暗日子中恢复过来，但短期内真的没有什么值得庆祝的。”
目前，加拿大西部每天的石油产量为16.5万至22.5万桶，超过了管道和铁路车辆的运输能力。安桥公司扩建后的3号管线将于明年晚些时候投入运营，这将缓解一些压力。
PSAC预计，加拿大明年将在产量最大的省份艾伯塔省钻取3532口新井，比2018年减少221口。
李峻 编译自 WENews.com
原文如下：
Canadian Oil & Gas Drilling Slipping
Canadian drilling activity will fall 5 percent in 2019, as deep price discounts discourage production, an industry group forecast Canadian oil producers are collecting prices that are much lower than the U.S. benchmark due to severe pipeline bottlenecks, and weak prices may lead producers to limit drilling budgets in the world's fifth-largest oil-producing country.
The Petroleum Services Association of Canada (PSAC) forecast that 6,600 wells will be drilled in 2019, the fewest in three years and down from an estimated 6,980 this year. The discount, or differential,The heavy differential is currently set at nearly double the level forecast for next year.
“While we’ve recovered from the very dark days of 2015 and 2016, there really isn’t any cause for celebration in the near term,” said PSAC Chief Executive Officer Tom Whalen.
Western Canada currently produces 165,000 to 225,000 barrels of oil per day more than pipelines and rail cars can move. Enbridge Inc’s expanded Line 3 is due to come PSAC forecast 3,532 wells will be drilled next year in Alberta, the biggest crude-producing province, a drop of 221 wells from 2018.
