据路透社9月24日新加坡报道，中国最大的石油贸易公司中国国际石油化工联合有限责任公司（Unipec）表示，由于新技术逐渐侵蚀石油使用，全球石油需求将在21世纪30年代中期达到每日1044亿桶的峰值，高于目前略低于1亿桶的水平。
Unipec总裁陈波日前在年度亚太石油会议(APPEC)上表示，能源效率的提高和技术进步，包括可再生能源的崛起，意味着全球石油需求增长在2035年见顶之前将在未来几年内放缓。
他说，反过来这将减缓全球炼油产能的增长。全球炼油产能在2035年将达到56亿吨。
陈波说：“我们相信，2018-2035年将是全球炼油产能扩张的最后一个周期。2035年以后，除一些小型升级项目和石化项目外，大型炼油厂项目很难开工。”
他补充说，改用更清洁的燃料还将提振全球对液化天然气(LNG)的需求，尤其是在亚太地区。
李峻 编译自 路透社
原文如下：
World oil demand, refining growth to peak in 2035 - Unipec
World oil demand will peak at 104.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in the mid-2030s, up from just below 100 million bpd currently, as new technologies gradually eat into oil use, China's Unipec said.
Improved energy efficiency and technological changes, including the rise of renewables, meant global oil demand growth would slow in coming years before peaking in 2035, Unipec President Chen Bo told the annual Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference (APPEC).
This, in turn, will slow growth in global oil refining capacity, which is set to hit 5.6 billion tonnes per year in 2035, he said.
"We believe 2018-2035 will be the last cycle of global refining capacity expansion. After 2035, it is difficult to see large-scale refining projects in construction, except for some small upgrade projects and petrochemical projects," said Chen.
The switch to cleaner fuels will also boost global demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG), particularly in the Asia Pacific, after 2025, he added.
